AGA EUNGS-CUP-2001 The Evolution of Underground Natural Gas Storage Changes in Utilization Patterns《天然气地下存储的发展 应用模式的改变》.pdf

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1、 The Evolution of Underground Natural Gas Storage: Changes in Utilization Patterns August 2001 Submitted to: American Gas Association 400 N. Capital Street, NW Washington, DC 20001 Submitted by: International Gas Consulting, Inc. 3200 Wilcrest Drive, Suite 450 Houston, Texas 77042 U. S. A. Tel. No.

2、(713) 782-4782 Fax No. (713) 782-9594 E-Mail: Catalog No. F12001 Copyright 2001 American Gas Association Table Of Contents FOREWORD . 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 3 THE EVOLUTION OF UNDERGROUND NATURAL GAS STORAGE: CHANGES IN UTILIZATION PATTERNS 7 INTRODUCTION. 7 HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT OF UNDERGROUND NATUR

3、AL GAS STORAGE. 8 THE EMERGENCE OF COMMERCIAL USES FOR GAS STORAGE10 DEVELOPMENT OF HUBS AND MARKET CENTERS 14 AN INCOMPLETE TRANSITION 21 THE USES OF NATURAL GAS STORAGE BY CUSTOMER SEGMENT .24 A) Pipelines.27 B) Local Distribution Companies28 C) Gas Marketers .29 D) Independent Storage Developers3

4、3 E) Electric Generators .34 NATURAL GAS STORAGE DATA 36 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 39 1 FOREWORD The American Gas Association (AGA) has estimated weekly changes in working gas inventories (underground storage) for three large regions of the US since January 1994. Initially, the American Gas Storage Su

5、rvey served the purpose of providing “realtime” data to a market that had very little natural gas supply accountability. A national commitment to less market regulation initiated by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) in favor of market forces demanded key information. In fact, the Energ

6、y Information Administration (EIA) was investigating such a mandate for storage reporting when AGA with member company support offered to collect the data and create weekly working gas estimates. During the 1990s as utilization of energy related financial instruments (futures, options and swaps) hav

7、e increased and as they have set a standard for valuing natural gas as a commodity market information has become very prominent. Weather forecasts, reports on domestic production and storage estimates all tell stories regarding the general health of gas supply in this country. Information in the nat

8、ural gas market is routinely interpreted and reflected in futures prices and other elements of the market. Data from the American Gas Storage Survey also supports AGA members as a benchmark for national trends when individual company supply and purchasing practices are scrutinized by state regulator

9、y bodies. This benchmarking has become very important as supply and demand for natural gas have become more closely balanced. With this backdrop, AGA believes it is crucial for users of storage information to understand its benefits, its limitations and to recognize the remarkable changes in storage

10、 utilization that have occurred in the past decade. It is only with this understanding that market data can be properly interpreted. In order to educate and promote an understanding of the key changes in storage strategies during the past decade, AGA commissioned International Gas Consulting, Inc. (

11、IGC) to study and report on these issues. IGC is clearly recognized as an industry leader in matters of natural gas storage utilization and strategic planning. The following report is intended to highlight key changes in underground storage utilization as both a winter supply 2 tool and commercial a

12、sset for companies owning or holding underground storage capacity. 3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Much has been said about the changes that have occurred in the natural gas market over the past decade. These changes are profound and pervasive. In addition to impacting the way natural gas is bought and sold the

13、y have also changed the way the existing natural gas infrastructure, including natural gas storage, is being utilized. Until the late 1980s, the storage of natural gas was primarily a utility, as opposed to commercial, function. Even though the economic justification for storage projects could be li

14、nked to the avoided cost of long-line pipeline capacity versus the cost of the storage, the decisions to develop and utilize underground storage were often driven by operational and economic requirements. The operational value was immeasurably greater because storage was the tool that allowed daily

15、and seasonal variations in demand to be balanced with supply. Underground natural gas storage provided pipelines and local distribution companies (LDCs) with seasonal supply, swing supply, and emergency supply. Today, storage is viewed very differently. The old rules regarding the quantities of stor

16、age required to meet seasonal load variations are no longer valid. Storage projects are being built to avoid imbalance penalties, to support peaking electric generation loads, to allow for the capture of the value of gas price volatility, and to support swing gas supply service. Storage is being use

17、d to facilitate daily nomination changes, title transfers, parking and lending services, and simultaneous injections and withdrawals. Storage economics are now often dominated by managed hedging strategies, daily and hourly balancing costs, hub services, and market based rates. Even the preferred ge

18、ologic setting for underground storage facilities, in many cases, has evolved from depleted reservoir and aquifer fields with limited cycling capability to salt dome and other high deliverability settings, which can offer multiple cycles and significant physical flexibility for stored gas. Increased

19、 efficiencies in the market for natural gas have encouraged the growth of new uses for natural gas storage. At any point in time, the amount of gas in storage represents a combination of elements. 4 First, the amount of natural gas in storage reflects that volume required to serve the traditional ut

20、ility functions, assuring the operational availability of natural gas. In addition, the amount of gas in storage captures the desire by companies to make a profit from marketing opportunities. Individual companies are making daily decisions about how best to meet their obligations and to maximize th

21、eir profits. Utility and commercial users of storage coexist side-by-side, sometimes within a single company. However, utilities have a regulatory obligation to ensure supply reliability at the lowest cost to firm ratepayers and, therefore, establish specific goals pertaining to the levels of invent

22、ory that must be maintained. In addition, utilities are charged with utilizing storage for the economic benefit of gas consumers but only to the extent that supply reliability is not compromised. Larger utilities also implement strategies to market surplus inventories to non-utility customers in ord

23、er to generate a net margin that is credited back to the utilities gas consumers. There is no bright line between the inventory needed and the inventory desired. Therefore, it is impossible to look at any particular inventory level, injection rate, or withdrawal rate and determine if it is sufficien

24、t or excessive. Given the degree of uncertainty with the weather during the winter heating season, storage is a critical physical hedge for utilities. This is nothing new. What is new is that there are many new participants in the business, each with its own motivation to store natural gas. This div

25、ersity of judgement coupled with the tools in the market place ensure that gas is made available for its highest value use. This allows some of the risk of supply decisions, including storage, to be shifted to the private sector and away from end users and LDC customers. Several significant changes

26、in the natural gas markets have promoted this evolution in the use of storage facilities: !“The deregulation of natural gas prices has resulted in increasing seasonality and increasing volatility. Previously, the industry balanced load using curtailments, wellhead shut-ins, 5 and storage. With dereg

27、ulation of the commodity, changes in supply and demand are reflected in the price of natural gas. This development made the commercialization of underground natural gas storage possible because it became possible to inject gas into storage with the expectation of profiting from price changes. !“The

28、increasing industry use of the NYMEX futures contracts and derivatives has provided buyers and sellers of gas the ability to manage the risk of price volatility and to capture a margin on stored gas at the time of injection. !“Order 636 opened the opportunity for marketers to use storage and underut

29、ilized pipeline capacity to support their business. These marketing companies have sought and found new ways to serve markets and new ways to profit from the use of gas storage. !“The growth of natural gas market centers and hubs support has increased liquidity, which has freed the traditional utili

30、ty users of storage to make a portion of the capacity they control available for use by marketing companies through Agency Agreements. Storage clients use storage associated with market centers and hubs to take advantage of location and transportation price variations that take place on a daily, mon

31、thly, and seasonal basis. !“Along with Agency Agreements, the development of new storage projects has placed an increasing share of storage assets in the hands of commercial users. The market has found a wide range of profitable opportunities to utilize storage. !“Storage is used as a variable sourc

32、e supply to support services such as daily and even hourly swing gas, warranted supplies, emergency back up, and balancing services. It also supports natural gas parking and lending services. !“Storage is used to ensure liquidity at market centers to help contain price volatility and maintain orderl

33、y gas markets. Storage can be used to balance a marketers obligations across multiple pipelines and in multiple regions. Most significantly, natural gas storage in conjunction with the futures market allows marketers to profit from the changes in gas prices over time through arbitrage transactions.

34、6 Because these uses are new, they represent a disproportionate share of the new transactions, the current interest, and opportunity to enhance the usefulness of underground natural gas storage. However, the new uses have not displaced the traditional uses. The commercialization of storage takes pla

35、ce primarily within new facilities, production area facilities not previously committed to LDC use, and capacity made available by LDCs through Agency Agreements. The capacity that the LDCs believe that they need to serve their traditional utility role is still available to use, as they deem necessa

36、ry. A majority of the storage capacity in this country is still used to assure the availability of seasonal gas supplies. The commercial uses of storage not only co-exist with the utility/operational use of storage; the two uses actually complement one another. 7 THE EVOLUTION OF UNDERGROUND NATURAL

37、 GAS STORAGE: CHANGES IN UTILIZATION PATTERNS INTRODUCTION Not so very long ago, if you asked an expert on natural gas storage why storage was built, the most likely answer was that storage was necessary to assure winter time supply and to provide emergency backup. If you asked that same expert how

38、storage was used, he would say that it was filled in the spring and summer and withdrawn in the winter. Any discussion of storage economics would focus on the avoided cost of long distance pipeline capacity and cost of service rates. Today, storage developers explain that their projects are being bu

39、ilt to avoid imbalance penalties, support peaking electric generation loads, allow for the capture of the value of gas price volatility, and to support swing gas supply service. When you ask how storage is being used, you might hear about daily nomination changes, title transfers, parking and lendin

40、g services, and simultaneous injections and withdrawals. A modern discussion of storage economics would not be complete without a consideration of managed hedging strategies, daily and hourly balancing costs, hub services and market based rates. Like the gas industry as a whole, the underground natu

41、ral gas storage segment has undergone dramatic change in the past few years. Natural gas storage is in the process of being transformed from a utility function to a commercial business.1That transformation is underway and incomplete but nonetheless has significant implications for understanding how

42、gas storage is being used today and for understanding the publicly available information 1Throughout this paper, we make the distinction between the utility versus the commercial use of storage. This is not a distinction that is intended to suggest that utility companies are not commercially motivat

43、ed or that all non-utility companies seek to use storage only for commercial applications. The concept presented distinguishes between storage being used for operational purposes, to promote some other business objective, as opposed to storage for commercial applications where its profitable use is

44、itself an objective. 8 regarding storage utilization. The purpose of this report is to examine those changes and the implications they have for natural gas industry stakeholders. HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT OF UNDERGROUND NATURAL GAS STORAGE The U.S. Geological Survey first proposed the concept of underg

45、round natural gas storage in 1909 as a waste conservation measure. The first recorded underground gas storage facility was a depleted gas reservoir converted for storage service in 1915 in Welland County, Ontario, Canada. In 1916, the first storage field in the U.S. began operating near Buffalo, New

46、 York at the depleted Zoar Field. That field remains active today. The early success of storing gas in depleted gas fields resulted in the gradual development of other fields as it was realized that utilities with access to storage possessed a powerful tool to better serve demand. In fact, the devel

47、opment of the entire natural gas industry was linked to the newly proven ability to provide reliable gas service year round to industrial, manufacturing, and residential users. Long distance pipeline transmission systems first appeared on the national energy scene in the late 1920s and early 1930s w

48、ith the discovery of three major gas production areas. The Panhandle/Hugoton Field in Kansas and the Oklahoma panhandle anchored three long distance pipelines. Five pipelines used gas from the Monroe Field in North Louisiana to support deliveries to Houston, St. Louis, Atlanta, Memphis, and New Orle

49、ans. Pacific Gas and Electric Company constructed a 300-mile pipeline from the San Joaquin Valley gas fields to serve the market of San Francisco. The pipeline industry recognized that building pipelines with sufficient capacity to meet winter seasonal and peak demand was not only extremely inefficient, it was not possible. The steel industry, in the early days of the natural gas pipeline industry, did not have the ability to manufacture pipe any larger than 24” in diameter, and furthermore, steel mills were operating at capacity for other construction needs.