bensel_e.ppt
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1、,Five-Year Plan CENTRAL STATISTICS ORGANIZATION (CSO) AFGHANISTAN,by: Abdul Rahman Ghafoori President General, CSO,PARIS21 Seminar Meetings , 5 7 November, Paris,The war caused wide spread destruction in Afghanistan Currently, CSO is hardly comparable with NSOs in the neighboring countries Capacity
2、building and institutional development are seriously neededThese observations were also contained/made by:Statistical Master Plan, UNFPA consultants, and International Census Advisory Board (ICAB),INTRODUCTION,CSO has to respond to the growing needs for data particularly the Afghanistan National Dev
3、elopment Strategies (ANDS) and MDGs This will prepare CSO to conduct the Afghanistan Population and Housing Census (APHC) in 2010. Also, it is expected to enable CSO to stand on its own feet while minimizing its dependency on International Consultants,INTRODUCTION,FRAMEWORKInstitutional Development
4、& Strengthening CSO Capacity Building & Enhancing its Statistical Capacity2010 Afghanistan Population and Housing Census,INTRODUCTION,Institutional development and capacity building will be undertaken in the following areas: ORGANIZATIONAL DEVELOPMENTSTATISTICAL INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENTICT AND PHY
5、SICAL INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT,I. Institutional Development and Capacity Building,Institutional restructuring by itself will be insufficient for creation of an effective statistical system in the country. It will demand programs that promote organizational development, apart from investments in ph
6、ysical infrastructure and development of appropriate statistical infrastructure,A. ORGANIZATIONAL DEVELOPMENT,1. User-producer relations workshops in October 2008High-level Government officials, representatives of the private sector, donors, and CSO managers participated. The key underlying themes w
7、ere: changed role of statistics in a market economy, role of various stakeholders, safeguards for maintaining the integrity of the statistical system, importance of priority setting, and adoption of international standards and best practices,A. ORGANIZATIONAL DEVELOPMENT (contn),2. Preparation of Di
8、rectory of Statistical outputsThis will be done in consultation with different ministries and data producing agencies through a review of the range of statistics presently with different agencies and international organizations.The Directory will help identify:data gaps; over-lapping and duplication
9、s; data collected but not used in publications. Also, it will provide the basic building blocks for the preparation of the proposed Metadata and database,A. ORGANIZATIONAL DEVELOPMENT (contn),3. Review of Statistics LawThe Statistics Law needs further revision. It was found out by CSO and recommenda
10、tions incorporated in the Statistical Master Plan. Further recommendations made by UNFPA consultants Some of the recommendations made : Inclusion of some statistical terms for clarity Strengthening CSO as the clearing house of any data collection activity Inclusion of some tasks (Compilation of Nati
11、onal accounts, Computation of Consumer Price Indices, Preparation of Input- Output (I-O) tables),A. ORGANIZATIONAL DEVELOPMENT (contn),4. Administrative re-structuring of CSO At present, the structure of CSO is being streamlined to contribute to the overall institutional strengthening.5. Observation
12、al Tours for Senior ManagersThe senior management team at CSO shall visit the statistical offices of selected neighboring countries to obtain first hand insights into the experience of these countries in managing the process of statistical reform,A. ORGANIZATIONAL DEVELOPMENT (contn),6. Short-TermTr
13、ainings CSO has identified a number of in-house trainings in: Basic Mathematics/StatisticsSampling Design Statistical Data Analysis/Software 1993 System of National Accounts (SNA 93)Socio-Demographic and Economic IndicatorsEnterprise/Establishment Business IndicatorsTechnical Report Writing Basic Co
14、mputer Management Monitoring and Evaluation Financial and Budget Management English Language,A. ORGANIZATIONAL DEVELOPMENT (contn),7. Academic Training CSO staff need to be well equipped with sufficient background on demography, statistics, economics, and IT 8. On-the-job training (assignment of sta
15、ff to statistical offices of neighboring countries)Detailing CSO staff to statistical offices of other countries is another option by which the staff will learn-by-doing (on-the-job training),A. ORGANIZATIONAL DEVELOPMENT (concluded),1. Development and Implementation of Household Master SampleWith t
16、he listing of households to serve as the frame for household surveys, and for several other surveys which starts next year, having only one sampling design will be cost efficient,STATISTICAL INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT,2. Improvement of population estimates/ projectionsAt present, estimates of popula
17、tion are computed using the population growth rate, on the assumption that the population dynamics in the future will be the same as in the past. However, there is a need to incorporate demographic changes in fertility, migration, and mortality in the estimation of population since in the post confl
18、ict situations, demographic changes are significant,STATISTICAL INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT(contn),3. Development of Sampling Design for IBES There is a need to re-design the sampling methodology for IBES to be more responsive to the changing structure of the economy CSO plans to replace business reg
19、isters with Census of Establishments and regular updating of these establishments through the Listing of Establishments 4. Updating the List of EstablishmentsThe list will serve as the sampling frame for future establishment surveys,STATISTICAL INFRASTRUCTURE DEVT (concluded),1. Improvement of CSO W
20、ebsiteWebsite as a medium for data dissemination and information campaign needs updating 2. Installation of Internet facilities in selected citiesThis is very important in any statistical office Initial installation will be in major seven cities,C. ICT AND PHYSICAL INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT,3. Impr
21、ovement of CSO LibraryCSO needs to have a system where data could be stored and properly accessed. Library needs improvement (books already outdated; small space; unorganized system) Establishment of the Training Institute crucially requires a good library for its students4. Re-construction of CSO P
22、rinting PressCSO is printing a lot of instructional and dissemination materials. With several data collection activities to be conducted, CSOs in-house printing will be very cost efficient.,C. ICT AND PHYSICAL INFRASTRUCTURE DEVT (contn),5. Construction of buildings for 28 Provincial Statistics Offi
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