[外语类试卷]大学英语六级模拟试卷245及答案与解析.doc
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1、大学英语六级模拟试卷 245及答案与解析 一、 Part I Writing (30 minutes) 1 Directions: For this part, you are allowed 30 minutes to write a short essay entitled The Increase in the Number of Chinese Traveling Abroad, You should write at least l5O words following the outline given below: 1. 说明这一现象 2解释产生这种现象的原因 3预测未来的趋势 (
2、说明:中国游客出国旅游开始于 1997年。据统计,当年全国出境旅游的人数为520万人次,到 2006年出境旅游的人数已超过 3000万人次。 ) 二、 Part II Reading Comprehension (Skimming and Scanning) (15 minutes) Directions: In this part, you will have 15 minutes to go over the passage quickly and answer the questions attached to the passage. For questions 1-4, mark:
3、Y (for YES) if the statement agrees with the information given in the passage; N (for NO) if the statement contradicts the information given in the passage; NG (for NOT GIVEN) if the information is not given in the passage. 1 Blowing Hot and Cold Climate change may be slow and uncertain, but that is
4、 no excuse for inaction. One reason why uncertainty over climate change looks to be with us for a long time is that the oceans, which absorb carbon from the atmosphere, act as a time-delay mechanism. Their massive thermal inertia means that the climate system responds only very slowly, to changes in
5、 the composition of the atmosphere. Another complication arises from the relationship between carbon dioxide (CO2), the principal greenhouse gas (GHG), and sulphur dioxide (SO2), and a common pollutant. Efforts to reduce man-made emissions of GHGs by cutting down on fossil-fuel use will reduce emiss
6、ions of both the gases. The reduction in CO2 will cut warming, but the concurrent (同时发生的 ) SO2 cut may mask that effect by contributing to the warming. There are so many such fuzzy (模糊的 ) factors ranging from aerosol particles to clouds to cosmic radiation that we are likely to see disruptions of fa
7、miliar climate patterns for many years without knowing why they are happening or what to do about them. Tom Wigley, a leading climate scientist and member of the UNs Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), goes further. He argues in an excellent book published by the Aspen Institute, “US P
8、olicies on Climate Change: What Next?“, that whatever policy changes governments pursue, scientific uncertainties will “make it difficult to detect the effects of such changes, probably for many decades.“ As evidence, he points to the negligible short-to medium-term difference in temperature resulti
9、ng from an array of emission “pathways“ on which the world could choose to embark if it decided to tackle climate change. He plots various strategies for reducing GHGs that will lead in the next century to the stabilization of atmospheric concentrations of CO2 at 550 parts per million (ppm). That is
10、 roughly double the level which prevailed in pre-industrial times, and is often suggested by climate scientists as a reasonable target. But even by 2040, the temperature differences between the various options will still be tiny and certainly within the magnitude of natural climatic variance. In sho
11、rt, in another four decades we will probably still not know if we have over-or under-shot. Ignorance is not bliss However, that does not mean we know nothing. We do know, for a start, that the “greenhouse effect“ is real: without the heat-trapping effect of water vapor, CO2, methane and other natura
12、lly occurring GHGs, our planet would be a lifeless 30 or so colder. Some of these GHG emissions are captured and stored by “sinks“, such as the oceans, forests and agricultural land, as part of natures carbon cycle. We also know that since the industrial revolution began, mankinds actions have contr
13、ibuted significantly to that greenhouse effect. Atmospheric concentrations of GHGs have risen from around 280ppm two centuries ago to around 370ppm today, thanks chiefly to mankinds use of fossil fuels and, to a lesser degree, to deforestation and other land-use changes. Both surface temperatures an
14、d sea levels have been rising for some time. There are good reasons to think temperatures will continue rising. The IPCC has estimated a likely range for that increase of 1.4 -5.8 over the next century, although the lower end of that range is more likely. Since what matters is not just the absolute
15、temperature level but the rate of change as well, it makes sense to try to slow down the increase. The worry is that a rapid rise in temperatures would lead to climate changes that could be devastating for many (though not all) parts of the world. Central America, most of Africa, much of south Asia
16、and northern China could all be hit by droughts, storms and floods and otherwise made miserable. The colder parts of the world may benefit from warming, but they too face danger. One is the conceivable collapse of the Atlantic “conveyor belt“, a system of currents that gives much of Europe its relat
17、ively mild climate; if temperatures climb too high, say scientists, the system may undergo radical changes that damage both Europe and America. That points to the biggest fear: warming may trigger irreversible changes that transform the earth into a largely uninhabitable environment. Given that poss
18、ibility, extremely remote though it is, it is no comfort to know that any attempts to stabilize atmospheric concentrations of GHGs at a particular level will take a very long time. Because of the oceans thermal inertia, explains Mr. Wigley, even once atmospheric concentrations of GHGs are stabilized
19、, it will take decades or centuries for the climate to follow suit. And even then the sea level will continue to rise. This is a vast challenge, and it is worth bearing in mind that mankinds contribution to warming is the only factor that can be controlled. So the sooner we start drawing up a long-t
20、erm strategy for climate change, the better. A low-carbon world That is why the long-term objective for climate policy must be a transition to a low-carbon energy system. Such a transition can be very gradual and need not necessarily lead to a world powered only by bicycles and windmills, for two re
21、asons that are often overlooked. One involves the precise form in which the carbon in the ground is distributed. According to Michael Grubb of the Carbon Trust, a British quasi-governmental body, the long-term problem is coal. In theory, we can burn all of the conventional oil and natural gas in the
22、 ground and still meet the most ambitious goals for tackling climate change. If we do that, we must ensure that the far greater amounts of carbon trapped as coal (and unconventional resources like tar sands) never enter the atmosphere. The other reason, as scientists took care to point out, is that
23、it is net emissions of CO2 that need to peak and decline. That leaves scope for the continued use of fossil fuels as the main source of modern energy if only some magical way can be found to capture and dispose of the associated CO2. Happily, scientists already have some magic in the works. Miracles
24、 sometimes happen Two decades ago, the world faced a similar dilemma: evidence of a hole in the ozone layer. Some inconclusive signs suggested that it was man-made, caused by the use of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs). There was the distant threat of disaster, and the knowledge that a concerted global re
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