[考研类试卷]考研英语(阅读)模拟试卷239及答案与解析.doc
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1、考研英语(阅读)模拟试卷 239 及答案与解析Part ADirections: Read the following four texts. Answer the questions below each text by choosing A, B, C or D. (40 points)0 Its no secret that the job of a political pollster is getting harder and harder every election cycle. People are cutting the landline, and regulations m
2、ake it incredibly hard for pollsters to reach voters on their cell phones. Mass onslaughts of getoutthe-vote phone calls near Election Day swamp phone lines and make voters recoil from the idea of actually picking up the phone. Finding voters who are willing to talk about their attitudes and beliefs
3、 on politics over the phone is an increasingly difficult challenge. Its hard out there for a pollster these days.Advances in computing allow us to analyze huge quantities of unstructured data(think “my random 140 character musings“ instead of “my clear answer to a yes or no question“). Culturally, p
4、eople are more and more comfortable putting it all out there online, from their tastes in music to their political preferences. Not to mention, samples can be enormous, dwarfing the “small data“ samples of a pollster who interviews a thousand registered voters. Technological innovation and a cultura
5、l shift toward sharing(and oversharing)make it possible for researchers to assess what people think without having to go to the trouble of actually asking questions.Or do they? This week, the Few Research Center is out with a study throwing cold water on the idea that analyzing data from sources lik
6、e Twitter can be an accurate substitute fur more traditional research methods. They find that Tweets are inconsistent in how they match up with polling data. Twitter users were more excited than American voters as a whole about the re-election of Barack Obama. Meanwhile, Pew finds that Twitter users
7、 were less excited about Obama s inaugural address than their poll respondents.If the challenges facing more traditional “small data“ pollsters are actually pretty big. the challenges facing “big data“ analysts are huge in this area. It seems obvious that the demographics of the universe of “people
8、Tweeting about the inaugural address“ might be different from the universe of “registered voters nationwide. “ While traditional pollsters can get a sense of the race, age, and gender of their samples and make corrections accordingly, its a lot harder to know all the demographic data behind the Twee
9、ts being analyzed. Not to mention, its much less clear what counts as a “positive“ or “negative“ Tweet in any given context, and that this up-or-down-vote approach to sentiment analysis might be too blunt an instrument to be useful.As technology moves forward, so too must the way people gather infor
10、mation about public opinion. But dont count the “small data“ polls out quite yet. While some high-profile misses by political pollsters raised important questions about how accurate election polls really are, quite a few pollsters managed to get it very close to right, even given all the aforementio
11、ned challenges pollsters face these days. Both “big data“ analysis of online conversations and “small data“ surveys and focus groups have a role to play in politics, and smart campaigns will value both as complementary methods of learning about where voters stand.1 Which one of the following stateme
12、nts is TRUE of the traditional “small data“ polls?(A)Traditional pollsters dont actually asking questions.(B) Traditional pollsters can gel a sense of the race, age, and gender of their samples and make corrections accordingly.(C) Traditional “small data“ polls is a better method than “big data“ ana
13、lysis of online conversations.(D)Traditional “small data“ polls made more high-profile misses than “big data“ polls.2 By citing the examples of Obamas re-election and inaugural address, the author intends to show that _.(A)analyzing data from sources like Twitter can be an accurate substitute for mo
14、re traditional research methods(B) Pew Research Centers study on Twitter users online musings and their poll respondents is questionable(C) Tweets are inconsistent in how they match up with polling data(D)Twitter users usually hold mutually contradictory political beliefs3 The authors attitude towar
15、ds the idea that analyzing data from sources like Twitter can be an accurate substitute for more traditional research methods can be said as_.(A)unrestrained approval(B) mild disapproval(C) amused tolerance(D)indifference4 It can be inferred from the last paragraph that _.(A)as technology moves forw
16、ard “small“ data polls will be phased out(B) to get accurate election polls will be an mission impossible in the future(C) Technological innovation makes it easy to gather information about public opinion(D)combining “small“ and “big“ data surveys will be the trend of future political polls.5 The be
17、st title for the passage would be_.(A)Political polling in the age of Twitter(B) The power of data(C) Technology makes polling easier(D)The development of Modern Campaign5 It is hard to pinpoint the date at which Americans developed an Indianor perhaps British fatalism about the declining quality of
18、 their infrastructure. When my British mother spent several months in the US in the 1950s, it was dazzlingly futuristic. There was air conditioning, an icebox in every fridge, ubiquitous neon lights and an open road on which even the working class could afford to drive. But bit by bit over the past
19、30 years, the worlds first truly modern infrastructure has shown its age. It has been starved by a generation of under-investment. And Americans have adapted around it.At some point in the next 12 months, we will discover whether the US has the will to bring its infrastructure into the 21st century.
20、 If all goes well, Congress will take steps to avert a fiscal cliff before January 1. As part of that deal lawmakers will schedule another ticking time bomb for late 2013, before which they will have to strike a larger bargain or hit another fiscal cliff. The likelihood is that Congress will shrink
21、the already meagre federal investment budget. The hope, as the Brookings Institution Metropolitan Center puts it, is that Congress will “cut to invest“ rather than doing so crudely across the board.There are three reasons to worry. First, there is remarkably little public outrage over the dilapidati
22、on in the power grid, public roads, domestic airports and waterways. This means that lawmakers will be feeling stronger pressures in other directions(such as defending the existing low level of capital gains tax, for example, or maintaining job-creating defence budgets). It is hard to fly domestical
23、ly in the US and not at regular intervals face heavy delays, cancellations or being bumped off your flight. It is also hard not to miss the impressively stoical reaction of most passengers.Second, most Americans are unaware of how far behind the rest of the world their country has fallen. According
24、to the World Economic Forums competitiveness report, US infrastructure ranks below 20th in most of the nine categories, and below 30 for quality of air transport and electricity supply. The US gave birth to the internet the kind of decentralised network that the US power grid desperately needs, yet
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