CATT Seminar on Networks ResearchPolytechnic UniversityMarch 27, .ppt
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1、CATT Seminar on Networks Research Polytechnic University March 27, 1999 Next Generation Networks Richard D. Gitlin Chief Technical Officer and Data Networking Technology Vice President Data Networking Systems Lucent Technologies ,Next Generation Networks,Introduction The Network Revolution Technolog
2、y Trends Applications and Requirements Issues and Solutions Quality of Service Security Network Management High Reliability Intelligent Networking Example: Voice on the Next Generation Network Summary,This R/Evolution Is Fueled By Unparalleled Customer Demand (and by telecom deregulation and the Int
3、ernet),It took about a century to install the worlds first 700 million phone lines; an additional 700 million lines will be deployed over the next 15-20 years There are more than 200 million wireless subscribers in the world today; an additional 700 million more will be added over the next 15-20 yea
4、rs There are more than 200 million Cable TV subscribers in the world today; an additional 300 million more will be added over the next 15-20 years More than 100 million additional Internet users will come on-line by 2001 -the Net is experiencing a 1000% per year growth! If this trend continues, by 2
5、004 99% of the worlds bandwidth will be Net traffic -including computer-to-computer communications.,Global Internet Users,1994 1998 2001,Average Hold Times,Internet Session 20 - 30 minutes,Changing Traffic Patterns,Voice Call 3 minutes,Worldwide Access Lines,3B,2B,1B,Next Generation Networks (The Ne
6、w Public Network): Current situation,No longer any debate that wide-area networks based on packet technology will emerge as a compelling alternative to the PSTN The new public network will be optimized for IP-based applications and will become the platform for future voice and data service innovatio
7、ns-it will not be based on merging existing legacy voice and data frame relay, SMDS, IP, networks Carriers expect that the simpler new network will also reduce costs of operations, equipment and staff and will capitalize on the faster pace of networking element development Migration strategies, qual
8、ity of service (QoS), network management, security, rapid service creation, and reliability are the major concerns of the carrier -as well as the almost $1 Trillion invested in the PSTN Almost 80% of the service providers intend to build their multiservice network with an ATM core and about 20% base
9、d on IP Some principles for the new network Give customers access choices (DSL, cable, wireless, ISDN, ) Work hard to optimize IP switching (DiffServ, MPLS, RSVP, .) Separate service intelligence from the network transport -open interface between intelligent call control features and packet gear Bui
10、ld IP-based billing and management,A Networking Paradigm Shift Occurring(IP Becomes Dominant WAN and LAN Protocol),Next-generation data networking Excellent performance with IP QoS breakthroughs: wire speed and per flow control “Route once, switch often” Route at wire speed Distance transparency and
11、 distributed “computing” Policy driven network management Directory Enabled Broadband access Wireless and optical networking Silicon and software Data on voice (circuits) Voice on data (circuits) “80/20” Enterprise/WAN data traffic split “20/80” Networks Network of networks,More than moving voice ov
12、er the Internet Converged, multi-service networks reduce costs provide integrated services Voice over cell/packet solutions - VoATM and VoIP Virtual Private Networks - VPNs Quality of Service - QoS Accommodate multiple protocols (e.g., IP, ATM, frame relay) Provide at least todays voice services (e.
13、g., 3-way connections, hold, add, forward, toll free, 911) Interoperate with one another, the Internet and the Public Switched Telephone Network,“Convergence” Driving Change & QoS,The real challenge is to build converged networks that are as reliable, robust and scalable as voice networks,Convergenc
14、e of Communications Paradigms Leads to New Services and Requires New Technologies,Telecommunications,ConnectionsTightly CoupledCentralized ControlsHW Fault ToleranceFeatures At Call Set-UpObsession With QoSLow Latency,Data Communications,ConnectionlessLoosely Coupled Loose Controls,DistributedSW Fau
15、lt ToleranceFeatures During SessionLittle Attention To QoSHigh Latency,Applications,The Pace of Technology,Technology Trend,Silicon Chips X2 in density/speed every 18-24 months Optics X2 in transmission capacity every year Data/Web X2 Internet subscribers every 2-3 years X2 Internet hosts/servers ev
16、ery year Wireless X1000 in capacity in 5 years Power X2 MIPs/MW every 2 years (DSPs) Compression X2 in information density every 5 years,Disruptive Technologies and their Impact on Networking,Impact of Transmission Speeds on Networking,Available WAN bandwidth has been less than LAN bandwidth - this
17、situation is expected to change at the millennium (WANs no longer a bottleneck for leading edge customers) Fiber optic transmission speeds have increased by 50% per year since 1980 (x100 in 10 years) LAN bandwidth has increased at 25% per year and WAN bandwidth has remained expensive (shared) “Avail
18、able” curve purchased by leading-edge users (e.g., OC-3c); about 1% of WAN BW,1975,1980,1985,1990,1995,2000,LAN,Single Channel Fiber,Multi-Channel (WDM),Available,T1,T3,OC-3c,Ethernet,Mbps,102,10,103,104,105,Fast Ethernet,Gigabit Ethernet,Impact of Speeds of Fiber Transmission and Microprocessors on
19、 Networking,Speed gains for microprocessors have kept pace with fiber transmission speeds The number of instructions available to process an optically transported packet, using the “hottest” micro has remained constant,1975,1980,1985,1990,1995,2000,Microprocessor speed (Mhz),Single Channel Fiber,Mul
20、ti-Channel (WDM),Merced,PowerPC,486,386,286,Mbps or Mhz,102,10,103,104,105,Single Channel Fiber,Impact of DRAM Memory Size and Transmission Speeds on Networking,With increasing transmission speeds, more packets are “in flight” for a given round trip propagation time; common error recovery protocols
21、require that one round trip worth of data be stored e.g., NY-LA-NY round trip propagation time of 50 ms results in 1 MB for a 155 Mbps link Size of DRAM increasing 58% per year Effective BW of memory is increasing at about 40% Storage capacity and transmission speeds are increasing at the same rate,
22、 thus number of chips to hold one “window” of data has remained constant,1975,1980,1985,1990,1995,2000,DRAM Size,Multi-Channel (WDM),256 MB,64 MB,16 MB,4 MB,Much More Traffic (leads to much more traffic - Metcalfes Law),Metcalfes Law: the value of a network grows exponentially with the number of use
23、rs and connected sources and a “network of networks” becomes the organizing principle for most communications,US Businesses WAN Peak Capacity Will Need to Increase at Least 10X in Three Years,0.0,1.0,2.0,3.0,4.0,5.0,1997,1998,1999,2000,Tb/sec,Source: Estimated from projections of data port shipments
24、 (Dataquest, 12/97),56 Billion Year 2000,3 Year Growth of Email Messages,Source: email projections: Yankee Group,3.5 Billion 1997,Major Requirements for Next Generation Network Applications,The Leading Protocols for Transporting Information on Next Generation Networks Are ATM and IP,*Related Items,E
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