AASHTO UGFR-1-2010 Unlocking Freight.pdf
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1、Transportation Reboot:Restarting Americas Most Essential Operating SystemThe Case for Capacity: To Unlock Gridlock, Generate Jobs, Deliver Freight, and Connect CommunitiesAMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF STATE HIGHWAY AND TRANSPORTATION OFFICIALSPART2OF A SERIESUnlocking FreightJULY 2010http:/ExpandingCapaci
2、ty.transportation.orgAcknowledgementsMuch of the freight-specific information and analysis contained in this report was drawn from the forthcoming AASHTO Freight Transportation Bottom Line reports. These reports were commissioned by the AASHTO Special Committee on Intermodal Transportation and Econo
3、mic Expansion, the Standing Committees on Rail and Water Transportation and the Subcommittee on Highway Transport, and prepared by Cambridge Systematics, Inc. The principal investigator for these reports is Lance Grenzeback for whom we offer special thanks for his assistance in updating information
4、and forecasts for this report.Other material cited in this report, including the estimates of capacity increases required, is drawn from research published in May 2007 by the Transportation Research Boards National Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP). The report, Future Options for the Inte
5、rstate and Defense Highway System, can be accessed at http:/onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/trbnet/acl/NCHRP_20-24_52Task10_NCHRPFinal.pdfThe objective of the research project was to develop a potential vision for the future of the U.S. Interstate Highway System. The report was prepared by a study tea
6、m led by David Gehr and Steve Lockwood of PB Consult, Gary Maring of Cambridge Systematics, Inc., Kevin E. Heanue and Alan E. Pisarski.The analysis period considered in the Future Options Report was the 30 years from 2005 to 2035. In order for this report to be comparable to that of the National Sur
7、face Transportation Policy and Revenue Study Commissions report, Transportation for Tomorrow, AASHTO based its findings on the research conducted by PB, Cambridge Systematics, Pisarski and Heanue, but presented its recommendations using the 2050 time horizon. We have also updated the travel demand f
8、orecasts using more recent data from AASHTOs 2009 Bottom Line Report. The report also benefitted from the work Michael Gallis and Associates contributed to AASHTOs 2007 publication, A New Vision for the 21st Century.Find Your State Examples of Freight Capacity Needs at http:/ExpandingCapacity.transp
9、ortation.orgWhether its a traffic-choked interchange or a truck-only lane needed to accommodate increasing amounts of freight movement, states have a long and urgent list of capacity improvement projects. In response to an AASHTO survey, state departments of transportation have identified some of th
10、eir high priority needs. Full details on these projects are available at http:/ExpandingCapacity.transportation.org. 2010 by the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials.All rights reserved. Duplication is a violation of applicable law.John Horsley Executive DirectorForewor
11、dAASHTO Executive Director John HorsleyConsensus is growing among Congressional leadershipespecially House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee Chairman James Oberstar and Senate Environment and Public Works Committee Chairwoman Barbara Boxerthat “freight” should be a priority in the next Sur
12、face Transportation authorization. Two reasons for this new emphasis stand out: the growing recognition that an efficient freight system is important to a strong economy and jobs here at home, and that a vibrant and integrated freight system is a basic ingredient in keeping America competitive abroa
13、d.Based on AASHTOs analysis contained in this report, it is clear that the U.S. freight system is not keeping up with the demands being made on it. The collapse of the economy in late 2008 temporarily reduced the volumes of freight moving through our seaports, and reduced related truck and rail frei
14、ght activity. The time it takes for the economy to recover will give the freight system a breather before capacity deficiencies again constrain U.S. economic growth and productivity. During the interim, we must move aggressively to determine the system improvements needed and use this information to
15、 develop a strategic national freight plan that will take us there.We have prepared this report to describe how important an efficient freight system is to the economy, the congestion already taking place, the growth in anticipated demand, and the challenge of keeping America competitive in the worl
16、d economy.The country has a lot at stake. It is critically important for our national leaders to address the challenges ahead and to fund the freight system capacity we need.“The next time you are on a highway or city street, look around you. Notice the number of trucks, semis, and other cargo vehic
17、les. Now imagine in 20 years: For every two trucks you see on the road today, there will be an additional one right behind it, carrying the expected growth in food deliveries, goods, and manufacturing equipment. If we dont add more capacity, those additional trucks will be right next to you on the r
18、oadway, adding to congestion and delays. Is that a future you want to experience?” John Horsley, AASHTO Executive Directorpagei 2010 by the American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials.All rights reserved. Duplication is a violation of applicable law.pageiiUnlocking FreightKey
19、FindingsThe transportation system that supports the movement of freight across America is facing a crisis. Our highways, railroads, ports, waterways, and airports require investment well beyond current levels to maintainmuch less improvetheir performance. Millions of jobs and our nations long-term e
20、conomic health are at risk.The need to move significantly more freight across the country and the world will increase substantially in the 21st century. The U.S. population reached 308 million in 2010, and is expected to reach 420 million by 2050. A larger population will consume more food, clothing
21、, and other commodities. By 2020, the U.S. trucking industry will move three billion more tons of freight than we haul today. To meet this demand, the industry will put another 1.8 million trucks on the road. In 20 years, for every two trucks now on the road, there will be an additional one right be
22、hind it, carrying the expected growth in food deliveries, goods, and manufacturing equipment. In 40 years, overall freight demand will double, from 15 billion tons today to 30 billion tons by 2050. Freight carried by trucks will increase 41 percent; by rail 38 percent from todays quantities. The num
23、ber of trucks on the road compared to today will also double. By 2015, the widening of the Panama Canal may shift significant volumes of goods from West Coast ports to Gulf ports and ports on the Atlantic Coast. These ports may not be deep enough for larger vessels or may not have adequate road or r
24、ail capacity to meet the new international trade demands. U.S. exports will grow at a rate of 5.8 percent annually, outpacing imports which are expected to increase annually by 4.2 percent. GROWINGSTORINGPACKAGINGDISTRIBUTINGEATINGFreight MovementFrom the Wheat Field to the Breakfast Table 2010 by t
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