大学六级模拟744及答案解析.doc
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1、大学六级模拟 744 及答案解析(总分:454.50,做题时间:90 分钟)一、Part Writing(总题数:1,分数:-1.00)1.英特网的积极影响。 2英特网的消极影响。 3你的看法。 Positive and Negative Effects of Internet(分数:-1.00)_二、Part Reading Compr(总题数:2,分数:77.00)Climate Change Scientists predict increasing droughts, floods and extreme weather and say there is growing evidenc
2、e that human activities are to blame. What Is Climate Change? The planet“s climate is constantly changing. The global average temperature is currently in the region of 15. Geological and other evidence suggests that, in the past, this average may have been as high as 27 and as low as 7. But scientis
3、ts are concerned that the natural fluctuation (波动) has been overtaken by a rapid human-induced warming that has serious implications for the stability of the climate on which much life on the planet depends. What Is the “Greenhouse Effect“? The greenhouse effect refers to the role played by gases wh
4、ich effectively trap energy from the Sun in the Earth“s atmosphere. Without them, the planet would be too cold to sustain life as we know it. The most important of these gases in the natural greenhouse effect is water vapor, but concentrations of that are changing little and it plays almost no role
5、in modern human-induced greenhouse warming. Other greenhouse gases include carbon dioxide, methane (甲烷) and nitrous (含氮的) oxide, which arc released by modern industry, agriculture and the burning of fossil fuels. Their concentration in the atmosphere is increasing-the concentration of carbon dioxide
6、 has risen by more than 30% since 1800. The majority of climate scientists accept the theory that an increase in these gases will cause a rise in the Earth“s temperature. What Is the Evidence of Warming? Temperature records go back to the late 19th century and show that the global average temperatur
7、e increased by about 0.6 in the 20th century. Sea levels have risen 1020 cm-thought to be caused mainly by the expansion of warming oceans. Most glaciers in temperate regions of the world and along the Antarctic Peninsula are in retreat, and records show Arctic sea-ice has thinned by 40% in recent d
8、ecades in summer and autumn. There are anomalies (异常) however-parts of the Antarctic appear to be getting colder, and there are discrepancies between trends in surface temperatures and those in the troposphere(对流层) (the lower portion of the atmosphere). How Much Will Temperatures Rise? If nothing is
9、 done to reduce emissions, current climate models predict a global temperature increase of 1.45.8 by 2100. Even if we cut greenhouse gas emissions dramatically now, scientists say the effects would continue because parts of the climate system, particularly large bodies of water and ice, can take hun
10、dreds of years to respond to changes in temperature. It also takes greenhouse gases in the atmosphere decades to break down. It is possible that we have already irrevocably(不可撤回地) committed the Greenland ice sheet to melting, which would cause an estimated 7m rise in sea level. There are also indica
11、tions that the west Antarctic ice sheet may have begun to melt, though scientists caution further research is necessary. How Will the Weather Change? Globally, we can expect more extreme weather events, with heat waves becoming hotter and more frequent. Scientists predict more rainfall overall, but
12、say the risk of drought in inland areas during hot summers will increase. More flooding is expected from storms and rising sea levels. There are, however, likely to be very strong regional variations in these patterns, and these are difficult to predict. What Will the Effects Be? The potential impac
13、t is huge, with predicted freshwater shortages, sweeping changes in food production conditions, and increases in deaths from floods, storms, heat waves and droughts. Poorer countries, which are least equipped to deal with rapid change, will suffer most. Plant and animal extinctions are predicted as
14、habitats change faster than species can adapt, and the World Health Organization has warned that the health of millions could be threatened by increases in malaria, water-borne disease and malnutrition. What Don“t We Know? We don“t know exactly what proportion of the observed warming is caused by hu
15、man activities or what the knock-on effects of the warming will be. The precise relationship between concentrations of carbon dioxide (and other greenhouse gases) and temperature rise is not known, which is one reason why there is such uncertainty in projections Of temperature increase. Global warmi
16、ng will cause some changes which will speed up further warming, such as the release of large quantities of the greenhouse gas methane as permafrost(永久冻结带) melts. Other factors may mitigate(减轻) warming. It is possible that plants may take more carbon dioxide from the atmosphere as their growth speeds
17、 up in warmer conditions, though this remains in doubt. Scientists are not sure how the complex balance between these positive and negative feedback effects will play out. What about the Skeptics? Global warming “skeptics“ fall into three broad camps: those who maintain temperatures are not rising;
18、those who accept the climate is changing but suspect it is largely down to natural variation; those who accept the theory of human-induced warming but say it is not worth tackling as other global problems are more pressing. Nevertheless, there is a growing scientific consensus (舆论) that, even on top
19、 of the natural variability of the climate, something out of the ordinary is happening and humans are to blame. A scientific report commissioned by the U.S. government has concluded there is “clear evidence“ of climate change caused by human activities. The report, from the federal Climate Change Sc
20、ience Program, said trends seen over the last 50 years “cannot be explained by natural processes alone“. It found that temperatures have increased in the lower atmosphere as well as at the Earth“s surface. However, scientists involved in the report say better data is badly needed. Observations down
21、the years have suggested that the troposphere, the lower atmosphere, is not warming up, despite evidence that temperatures at the Earth“s surface are rising. This goes against generally accepted tenets (原则) of atmospheric physics, and has been used by “climate skeptics“ as proof that there is no rea
22、l warming. The new report, Temperature Trends in the Lower Atmosphere, re-analyses the atmospheric data and concludes that tropospheric temperatures are rising. This means, it says, that the impact of human activities upon the global climate is clear. “The observed patterns of change over the past 5
23、0 years cannot be explained by natural processes alone, nor by the effect of short-lived atmospheric constituents (such as aerosols and tropospheric ozone ) alone,“ it says. Holes in the Data But there are some big uncertainties which still need resolving. Globally, the report concludes, tropospheri
24、c temperatures have risen by 0.10 and 0.20 per decade since 1979, when satellite data became generally available. The wide gap between the two figures means, says the report, that “.it is not clear whether the troposphere has warmed more or less than the surface.“ Peter Thorne, of the U.K. Meteorolo
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