ASHRAE LV-11-028-2011 Parametric Analysis to Support the Integrated Design and Performance Modeling of Net Zero Energy Houses.pdf
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1、2011 ASHRAE 945ABSTRACTBuilding performance models routinely involve tens orhundreds of components or aspects and at least as manyparameters to describe them. This results in overwhelmingcomplexity and a tedious process if the designer attempts toperform parametric analysis in an attempt to optimize
2、 thedesign. Traditionally, during design, parameters are selectedon a one-at-a-time basis and, occasionally, formal mathemat-ical optimization is applied. However, many subsets of param-eters show some level of interaction, to varying degrees,suggesting that the designer should consider manipulating
3、multiple design parameters simultaneously. This paper isdivided into two parts. The first part presents a methodologyfor identifying the critical parameters and two-way parameterinteractions. The second part uses these results to identify theappropriate level of modeling resolution. The methodology
4、isapplied to a generic model for net-zero or near-net-zero energyhouses, which will be used for an early stage design tool. Theresults show that performance is particularly sensitive to inter-nal gains, window sizes, and temperature setpoints, and theyindicate the points at which adding insulation t
5、o varioussurfaces has minimal impact on performance. The most signif-icant parameter interactions are those between major geomet-rical parameters and operating conditions. Increasedmodeling resolution for infiltration and building-integratedphotovoltaics (BIPV) only provides a modest improvement tos
6、impler models. However, explicit modeling of windows,rather than grouping them into an equivalent area, has a signif-icant impact on predicted performance. This suggests thatidentifying and implementing the appropriate level of model-ing resolution is necessary, and that it should be detailed forsom
7、e aspects even in the early stage design.INTRODUCTIONCurrently, net zero energy buildings (NZEBs) are beingcited as an effective solution to pending environmental issues(Griffith et al. 2007). NZEBs are frequently defined as build-ings that export as much energy as they import over the courseof a ye
8、ar, though other definitions exist (Torcellini et al. 2006).Two possible approaches to achieving strong NZEB designsare formal mathematical optimization and simulation-supported design, in which a designer is involved in everydecision. The focus of this paper is early stage design usingperformance s
9、imulation. Put simply, optimization tools outputthe optimal design based on an objective function and a set ofconstraints, offering little insight to what makes a good design.Design tools can provide the means to a designer to exploredifferent concepts and reach the near-optimal design spacewhile ac
10、counting for their experience and preferences. Unlikeformal optimization, design permits the evaluation of unquan-tifiable design traits such as aesthetics and views to theoutside. However, users of design tools are unlikely to arriveat the mathematically absolute optimal solution for largedesign sp
11、aces, though they may come close.To put the current work in context, a software-based solarhouse design tool, which is referenced throughout this paper,is being developed for the early stage design. It will support thedesign of low-energy and net-zero energy houses that includepassive solar, active
12、solar, and energy efficiency features. Thesolar house design tool will replicate what only the mostpatient of designers would do naturally: support conceptgeneration with a series of proper calculations and simulationsthrough many different design options. The tool shouldmanage issues such as approp
13、riate parameter interactions,Parametric Analysis to Support the Integrated Design and Performance Modeling of Net Zero Energy HousesWilliam T. OBrien Andreas K. Athienitis, PhD, PEng Ted Kesik, PhD, PEngStudent Member ASHRAE Member ASHRAE Member ASHRAEWilliam OBrien is a PhD student and Andreas K. A
14、thienitis is a professor and research chair (Tier I in Solar Energy) in the Department ofBuilding, Civil, and Environmental Engineering at Concordia University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada. Ted Kesik is an associate professor atthe John H. Daniels Faculty of Architecture, Landscape, and Design, Univers
15、ity of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.LV-11-0282011. American Society of Heating, Refrigerating and Air-Conditioning Engineers, Inc. (www.ashrae.org). Published in ASHRAE Transactions, Volume 117, Part 1. For personal use only. Additional reproduction, distribution, or transmission in either prin
16、t or digital form is not permitted without ASHRAES prior written permission.946 ASHRAE Transactionsdesign resolution, and modeling assumptions to ensure goodresults from inexperienced energy modelers.Currently, common design practice of solar homesinvolves the expertise of multiple practitioners and
17、 at least asmany building energy simulation programs, some of whichmay be custom-built or modified. However, the savings poten-tial (energy and cost) for small residential buildings on an indi-vidual basis does not justify this type of investment formainstream deployment. Thus, there is a need for a
18、 stream-lined procedure that reduces the level of expertise, designtime, and number of distinct information sources (CADprograms, textbooks, design guides, etc.). The absence of sucha tool has hindered the widespread adoption of systematicpassive solar design in residential buildings. This gap wasid
19、entified by Athienitis et al. (2006) and in the design ofseveral of the Canada Mortgage and Housing CorporationsEQuilibrium demonstration homes (CMHC 2009). It shouldbe noted that the use of thorough design and simulation isparticularly justified for prefabricated homes or subdivisionsin which a lar
20、ge number of houses is similar or identical.The biggest challenge in designing a low or net zeroenergy house, as with any engineering system, is that thedesigner must make multiple design decisions simultaneouslywith the goal of achieving a high level of performance. Theprocess is not as simple as m
21、erely selecting the best choice formultiple subsystems and assuming that this will yield the bestsystem upon integration. In reality, each subsystem interactswith the others, to some degree. For example, the optimalsouth-facing glazing area for a passive solar house depends onmany other design decis
22、ions, including the level of thermalmass and insulation, as well as the control of solar gains andthe space heating strategy.A frequently cited technique for design is parametric orsensitivity analysis (Hayter et al. 2001). A major limitation tothis method is that parameter interactions are overlook
23、ed. Forinstance, the parametric analysis might be performed on aparameter, during which the other parameters are set to valuesthat do not allow it to be properly characterized. A moreconcrete example is the interaction between thermal mass andglazing area. A house with minimal glazing and relatively
24、constant operating conditions would indicate little benefit inperformance with the addition of thermal mass. Using a one-dimensional parametric analysis, an inexperienced designermight make the generalized conclusion that thermal mass hasminimal benefit for all buildings. Thus, a methodology forquan
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