专业英语八级写作-62及答案解析.doc

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1、专业英语八级写作-62及答案解析 (总分：100.00，做题时间：90分钟)一、BWRITING/B(总题数：1，分数：100.00)1.The Crisis in Asia（分数：100.00）_专业英语八级写作-62答案解析 (总分：100.00，做题时间：90分钟)一、BWRITING/B(总题数：1，分数：100.00)1.The Crisis in Asia（分数：100.00）_正确答案：(Pundits who want to sound judicious are fond of warning against generalizing. Each country is dif

2、ferent, they say, and no one story fits all of Asia. This is, of course, silly: all of these economies plunged into economic crisis within a few months of each other, so they must have had something in common. In fact, the logic of catastrophe was pretty much the same in Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesi

3、a and South Korea.(Japan is a very different story.) In each case investorsmainly, but not entirely, foreign banks who had made short-term loansall tried to pull their money out at the same time. The result was a combined banking and currency crisis: a banking crisis because no bank can convert all

4、its assets into cash on short notice; a currency crisis because panicked investors were trying not only to convert long-term assets into cash, but to convert baht or rupiah into dollars. In the face of the stampede, governments had no good options. If they let their currencies plunge inflation would

5、 soar and companies that had borrowed in dollars would go bankrupt; if they tried to support their currencies by pushing up interest rates, the same firms would probably go bust from the combination of debt burden and recession. In practice, countries split the differenceand paid a heavy price regar

6、dless. Was the crisis a punishment for bad economic management? Like most cliches, the catchphrase crony capitalism has prospered because it gets at something real: excessively cozy relationships between government and business really did lead to a lot of bad investments. The still primitive financi

7、al structure of Asian business also made the economies peculiarly vulnerable to a loss of confidence. But the punishment was surely disproportionate to the crime, and many investments that look foolish in retrospect seemed sensible at the time. Given that there were no good policy options, was the p

8、olicy response mainly on the right track? There was frantic blame-shifting when everything in Asia seemed to be going wrong: now there is a race to claim credit when some things have started to go right. The international Monetary Fund points to Koreas recoveryand more generally to the fact that the

9、 sky didnt fall after allas proof that its policy recommendations were right. Never mind that other IMF clients have done far worse, and that the economy of Malaysiawhich refused IMF help, and horrified respectable opinion by imposing capital controlsalso seems to be on the mend. Malaysias prime Min

10、ister, by contrast, claims full credit for any good newseven though neighbouring economies also seem to have bottomed out. The truth is that an observer without any ax to grind would probably conclude that none of the policies adopted either on or in defiance of the IMFs advice made much difference

11、either way. Budget policies, interest rate policies, banking reform whatever countries tried, just about all the capital that could flee, did. And when there was no more money to run, the natural recuperative powers of the economies finally began to prevail. At best, the money doctors who purported

12、to offer cures provided a helpful bedside manner; at worst, they were like medieval physicians who prescribed bleeding as a remedy for all ills. Will the patients stage a full recovery? It depends on exactly what you mean by full. South Koreas industrial production is already above its precrisis lev

13、el; but in the spring of 1997 anyone who had predicted zero growth in Korean industry over the next two years would have been regarded as a reckless doomsayer. So if by recovery you mean not just a return to growth, but one that brings the regions performance back to something like what people used to regard as the Asian norm, they have a long way to go.)解析：