REG NASA-LLIS-1344--2003 Lessons Learned - Resources Management Cost Estimates.pdf
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1、Lessons Learned Entry: 1344Lesson Info:a71 Lesson Number: 1344a71 Lesson Date: 2003-01-01a71 Submitting Organization: ARCa71 Submitted by: Donald R. MendozaSubject: Resources Management: Cost Estimates Description of Driving Event: The Projects formulation phase was predominately accomplished by a s
2、mall group of research scientists and engineers. Thus, most of their planning and management experience had been gained while working on academic type activities in which the main deliverables were data and research publications (level of effort type in which work was fit into forecasted budgets as
3、opposed to actual deliverable requirements). However, the current Project was required to develop and deliver a major scientific instrument. While the team did have experience with other instruments, including a similar one used on another project, they had never developed an instrument of the requi
4、red size nor had they developed anything requiring FAA flight certification. Making matters worse, the formulation team did not have Center project management support to aid, review, or verify the initial cost estimate. Each time the Project attempted to adjust (re-baseline)their cost estimate the s
5、ame process was used. Unfortunately, the insular nature of the process resulted in the repetition of the same issues mentioned above leading to inaccurate cost estimates. Finally, after realizing the Projects costs had been under estimated by a large factor, the Center elected to cancel the Project.
6、Lesson(s) Learned: 1. An initial cost estimate that is significantly inaccurate can doom a project to failure regardless of what other actions are taken.2. Instrument costs do not always scale linearly or predictably, especially when the development and application environments differ significantly
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