SAE R-448-2016 Successful Prediction of Product Performance (To Purchase Call 1-800-854-7179 USA Canada or 303-397-7956 Worldwide).pdf
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1、Successful Prediction of Product Performance Quality, Reliability, Durability, Safety, Maintainability, Life-Cycle Cost, Profit, and Other Components 6636_Book.indb 1 7/28/16 9:55 AMOther SAE books of interest: Automotive E/E/ Reliability By John Day (Product Code: T-126) Design and Reliability Fact
2、or By John Day (Product Code: PT-174) Automotive Electronics Reliability By Ronald Jurgen (Product Code: PT-144) Reliability, Maintainability, and Supportability Guidebook By: Multiple authors from Government and Industry (Product Code: M-102/95) For more information or to order a book, contact SAE
3、International at 400 Commonwealth Drive, Warrendale, PA 15096-0001, USA; Phone: 1+877.606.7323 (U.S. and Canada only) or 1+724.776.4970 (outside U.S. and Canada); Fax: 1+724.776.0790; Email: CustomerServicesae.org Website: http:/ /books.sae.org 6636_Book.indb 2 7/28/16 9:55 AMSuccessful Prediction o
4、f Product Performance Quality, Reliability, Durability, Safety, Maintainability, Life-Cycle Cost, Profit, and Other Components Lev Klyatis Professor Emeritus Dr.-Ing. Habil., Dr. of Technical Sciences, Ph.D. Warrendale, Pennsylvania, USA 6636_Book.indb 3 7/28/16 9:55 AM Copyright 2016 SAE Internatio
5、nal eISBN: 978-0-7680-8312-5400 Commonwealth Drive Warrendale, PA 15096-0001 USA E-mail: CustomerServicesae.org Phone: +1 877.606.7323 (inside USA and Canada) +1 724.776.4970 (outside USA) Fax: +1 724.776.0790 Copyright 2016 SAE International. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be
6、reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, distributed, or trans- mitted, in any form or by any means without the prior written permission of SAE International. For permission and licensing requests, contact SAE Permissions, 400 Commonwealth Drive, Warrendale, PA 15096-0001 USA; email: copyrightsae.o
7、rg; phone: 1+724.772.4028; fax: 1+724.772.9765. SAE Order Number R-448 http:/dx.doi.org/10.4271/r-448 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Names: Klyatis, Lev M., author. Title: Successful prediction of automotive, aerospace, and commercial product performance : quality, reliability, d
8、urability, safety, maintainability, life cycle cost, profit, recalls, other / Lev Klyatis. Description: Warrendale, PA : SAE International, 2016 | Includes bibliographical references. Identifiers: LCCN 2016011600 | ISBN 9780768081763 Subjects: LCSH: Reliability (Engineering) | Service life (Engineer
9、ing) Classification: LCC TS173 .K6323 2016 | DDC 620/ .00452-dc23 LC record available at https:/lccn.loc.gov/2016011600 Information contained in this work has been obtained by SAE International from sources believed to be reliable. However, neither SAE International nor its authors guarantee the acc
10、uracy or completeness of any information published herein and neither SAE International nor its authors shall be responsible for any errors, omissions, or damages arising out of use of this informa- tion. This work is published with the understanding that SAE International and its authors are supply
11、ing information, but are not attempting to render engineering or other professional services. If such services are required, the assistance of an appropriate professional should be sought. ISBN-Print - 978-0-7680-8176-3 ISBN-PDF - 978-0-7680-8312-5 ISBN-epub - 978-0-7680-8314-9 ISBN-prc - 978-0-7680
12、-8313-2 To purchase bulk quantities, please contact SAE Customer Service: Email: CustomerServicesae.org Phone: 1+877.606.7323 (inside USA and Canada) 1+724.776.4970 (outside USA) Fax: 1+724.776.0790 Visit the SAE International Bookstore at books.sae.org 6636_Book.indb 4 7/28/16 9:55 AMDedication To
13、My Wife NELLYA KLYATIS 6636_Book.indb 5 7/28/16 9:55 AMLanguage Editor Brian Dodson 6636_Book.indb 6 7/28/16 9:55 AMvii Contents Preface .xi Introduction xv Current Situation with Recalls and Related Problems xvi Current Situation in Performance Prediction .xxi The History of Reliability Prediction
14、. xxiii References .xxvii Chapter 1: Terms and Definitions for Successful Prediction, Reliability, and Durability Testing.1 References 9 Chapter 2: Analysis of Current Approaches in Simulation and Testing.11 2.1 General . 12 2.2 Elements of History of Physical Simulation Development . 12 2.3 Physica
15、l Simulation of the Real-World Conditions. Current Testing 14 References . 26 Chapter 3: Methodological Aspects as the First Basic Component of Successful Prediction of Product Performance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
16、 29 3.1 Introduction . 29 3.2 Common Principles of Successful Performance Prediction . 33 3.3 Common Criteria for Successful Prediction of Product Performance Components . 34 3.4 Methodology for Selecting Representative Input Regions for Accurate Simulation of Real-World Conditions . 43 3.5 Aspects
17、of Successful Prediction of Products Performance By Taking Into Account Coefficients of Recalculation that Depend On Manufacturing Technology Factors and Usage Conditions . 49 3.6 Building a Specific Type of Influence Function for Reliability and Maintainability Prediction . 52 3.7 Basic Methodologi
18、cal Aspects of Quality Prediction . 57 3.8 System Reliability Prediction from Testing Results of the Components . 60 3.9 Durability Prediction with Consideration of Expenses and Losses 61 3.10 Prediction of the Products Spare Parts 66 6636_Book.indb 7 7/28/16 9:55 AMviii Contents 3.11 Basic Aspects
19、of Safety and Human Factors Simulation, Their Prediction Methodology, and Risk Components 69 3.12 Successful Prediction of Some Financial Components of Performance (LCC, Profit, and Recalls) 69 3.13 Conclusions . 75 References . 76 Chapter 4: Basic Aspects of Accelerated Reliability/Durability Testi
20、ng as the Second Basic Component of Successful Prediction of Product Performance. 81 4.1 Introduction . 81 4.2 The Basic Concepts of the Strategy for Development of Accurate Physical Simulation of Real-World Conditions and ART/ADT . 84 4.3 The Principles of System of Control for Physical Simulation
21、of Random Input Influences . 98 4.4 Trends in the Development of ART/ADT . 105 References . 110 Chapter 5: Integrated Equipment for Physical Simulation of Interacted Real-World Conditions . 113 5.1 Introduction . 113 5.2 Combined Testing Equipment . 114 5.3 Equipment for Accelerated Reliability and
22、Durability Testing . 136 5.4 The Mechanisms for Control of Simulation of the Real-World Random Input Influences 145 References 154 Chapter 6: Financial Considerations, Use of the Authors Approach, and Some Published Reviews to the Authors Previous Books 157 6.1 Financial Considerations . 158 Referen
23、ces 163 6.2 Use of the Authors Approach (Publications) 163 6.3 Some Published Reviews to Authors Previous Books 171 Chapter 7: Improving the Standardization of Accelerated Reliability and Durability Testing 177 7.1 Current Situation . 177 7.2 Standards in Combined Testing . 178 7.3 Standards in Reli
24、ability Testing . 185 7.4 SAE International Standards in Reliability Testing . 187 References 206 6636_Book.indb 8 7/28/16 9:55 AMix Contents Chapter 8: Improvement in Engineering Culture for Successful Prediction 209 References.222 Index.223 About the Author.229 6636_Book.indb 9 7/28/16 9:55 AM6636
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