ASCE GSP 286-2017 Geotechnical Safety and Reliability.pdf

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1、Edited byC. Hsein Juang, Ph.D., P.E.; Robert B. Gilbert, Ph.D., P.E., D.GE; Limin Zhang, Ph.D.; Jie Zhang, Ph.D.; and Lulu Zhang, Ph.D.Geotechnical Safety and ReliabilityHonoring Wilson H. TangSelected Papers from the Proceedings of Geo-Risk 2017GSP 286GEOTECHNICAL SPECIAL PUBLICATION NO. 286 GEOTEC

2、HNICAL SAFETY AND RELIABILITY HONORING WILSON H. TANG SELECTED PAPERS FROM SESSIONS OF GEO-RISK 2017 June 47, 2017 Denver, Colorado SPONSORED BY Geo-Institute of the American Society of Civil Engineers EDITED BY C. Hsein Juang, Ph.D., P.E. Robert B. Gilbert, Ph.D., P.E., D.GE Limin Zhang, Ph.D. Jie

3、Zhang, Ph.D. Lulu Zhang, Ph.D. Published by the American Society of Civil Engineers Published by American Society of Civil Engineers 1801 Alexander Bell Drive Reston, Virginia, 20191-4382 www.asce.org/publications | ascelibrary.org Any statements expressed in these materials are those of the individ

4、ual authors and do not necessarily represent the views of ASCE, which takes no responsibility for any statement made herein. No reference made in this publication to any specific method, product, process, or service constitutes or implies an endorsement, recommendation, or warranty thereof by ASCE.

5、The materials are for general information only and do not represent a standard of ASCE, nor are they intended as a reference in purchase specifications, contracts, regulations, statutes, or any other legal document. ASCE makes no representation or warranty of any kind, whether express or implied, co

6、ncerning the accuracy, completeness, suitability, or utility of any information, apparatus, product, or process discussed in this publication, and assumes no liability therefor. The information contained in these materials should not be used without first securing competent advice with respect to it

7、s suitability for any general or specific application. Anyone utilizing such information assumes all liability arising from such use, including but not limited to infringement of any patent or patents. ASCE and American Society of Civil EngineersRegistered in U.S. Patent and Trademark Office. Photoc

8、opies and permissions. Permission to photocopy or reproduce material from ASCE publications can be requested by sending an e-mail to permissionsasce.org or by locating a title in ASCEs Civil Engineering Database (http:/cedb.asce.org) or ASCE Library (http:/ascelibrary.org) and using the “Permissions

9、” link. Errata: Errata, if any, can be found at https:/doi.org/10.1061/9780784480731 Copyright 2017 by the American Society of Civil Engineers. All Rights Reserved. ISBN 978-0-7844-8073-1 (PDF) Manufactured in the United States of America. Preface Modeling, analysis, and design are tasks that engine

10、ers almost always have to perform in the face of uncertainties. The late Professor Wilson H. Tang (1943-2012) was one of the worlds early pioneers and a prominent leader in the field of engineering uncertainties and reliability analysis. He was a great researcher and a great teacher, and his ability

11、 to explain difficult or abstract concepts to students and colleagues was one of his greatest gifts to the profession. Although recognized for his outstanding contributions in developing probabilistic methods for geotechnical engineering applications, Professor Tangs work extended well beyond the ge

12、otechnical realm, encompassing problems in civil engineering, codified design in structural engineering, risk assessment in hydraulic systems, probabilistic modeling of geotechnical systems, and the reliability of transportation systems. To commemorate and honor Professor Tangs lifetime contribution

13、s, this Geotechnical Special Publication (GSP) was initiated and completed by his former students, colleagues and friends, and published by the American Society of Civil Engineers. This GSP contains the abstracts of 7 representative papers of Professor Tang and 17 invited contemporary contributions.

14、 These papers are categorized into seven topics: (1) site exploration; (2) uncertainty characterization and model calibration; (3) reliability methods; (4) reliability of foundations; (5) Bayesian updating; (6) risk assessment; and (7) monitoring and quality assurance. In each topic, an abstract of

15、one of Professor Tangs papers is first presented, followed with invited contemporary contributions. These abstracts and new contributions represent the classic work of Professor Tang and the most relevant new developments in each topic area. The editors wish to acknowledge tremendous efforts of the

16、invitees for their contributions. Following the ASCE-GI publishing standards and requirements, their submissions were accepted following a rigorous review process. Criteria for acceptance required at least two positive reviews from two to three anonymous peer reviewers. Discussions of the new papers

17、 included in this GSP can be submitted to the ASCE Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering. All papers included in this GSP are eligible for ASCE-GI awards. The editors also wish to acknowledge the tremendous efforts of our reviewers in reviewing these articles, without which this G

18、SP could not have been published. The reviewers of this GSP are listed and acknowledged as follows: Zijun Cao Jianye Ching Michele Calvello Raymond Cheung Robert B. Gilbert Wenping Gong Jingsong Huang Maximilian Huber Jian Ji C. Hsein Juang Dianqing Li Zhongqiang Liu Zhe Luo Shadi Najjar Ming Peng K

19、ok-Kwang Phoon Nick Sartain Armin W. Stuedlein Wing Sun Marco Uzielli Yu Wang Tien Wu Limin Zhang Lulu Zhang *HRWHFKQLFDO6DIHWDQG5HOLDELOLW*63LLL$6 Part II, 121(11), 84-85. Mays, L.W., Yen, B.C., and Tang, W.H. (1975) “Worth of Data for Optimal Design of Storm Sewers,” Proceedings, 16th Congress of

20、the International Association for Hydraulic Research, Vol. 4, Sao Paula, Brazil, 34-42. Tang, W.H., Mays, L.W., and Yen, B.C. (1975) “Optimal Risk-Based Design of Storm Sewer Network,” Journal of Environmental Engineering, Proceedings of ASCE 101, EE3, 381-398. Yen, B.C., Wenzel, H.G., Mays, L.W., a

21、nd Tang, W.H. (1976) “Advanced Methodologies for Design of Storm Sewer System.” WRC Research Report No. 112, University of Illinois Water Resources Center, March. Yen, B.C., and Tang, W.H. (1976) “Risk-Safety Factor for Storm Sewer Design,” Journal of the Environmental Engineering Division, ASCE, 10

22、2(EE2), 509-516. Yen, B.C., Wenzel, H.G., Mays, L.W., and Tang, W.H. (1976) “New Models for Optimal Sewer System Design,” Proceedings, EPA Conference on Environmental Modeling and Simulation, Cincinnati, Ohio, 740-744. Tang, W.H., Mays, L.W., and Wenzel, H.G. (1977) “Discounted Flood Risks in Least-

23、Cost Design of Storm Sewer Networks.“ Stochastic Processes in Water Resources Engineering, edited by L. Gottschalk, et al., Water Resources Publication, USA, 293-318. Yen, B.C., and Tang, W.H. (1977) “Reliability of Flood Warning.“ Stochastic Process in Water Resources Engineering, edited by L. Gott

24、schalk, et al., Water Resources Publication, USA, 333-348. *HRWHFKQLFDO6DIHWDQG5HOLDELOLW*63L$6 Preprint No. 2016. Haldar, A., and Tang, W.H. (1979) “Uncertainty Analysis of Relative Density,” Journal of Geotechnical Division, Proceedings of ASCE 105, GT7, 899-904. Tang, W.H. (1979) “Probabilistic E

25、valuation of Load and Environmental Conditions in Geotechnical Engineering,” in Reliability Analysis and Geotechnical Engineering, ASCE National Convention, Boston, Massachusetts, 49-89. Tang, W.H. (1981) “Probabilistic Evaluation of Loads,” Journal of Geotechnical Division, Proceedings of ASCE 107,

26、 GT3, 287-304. Cheng, S.T., Yen, B.C., and Tang, W.H. (1984) “Sensitivity of Risk Evaluation to Coefficient of Variation,” Proceedings, 4th IAHR International Symposium on Stochastic Hydraulics,277-284. Tang, W.H. (1984) “Principles of Probabilistic Characterization of Soil Properties,” Probabilisti

27、c Characterization of Soil Properties: Bridge Between Theory and Practice, ASCE, 4-89. (Keynote) *HRWHFKQLFDO6DIHWDQG5HOLDELOLW*63 $6&(Tang, W.H. (1989) Discussions on “Effects of Plasticity and Sample Disturbance on Statistical Properties of Undrained Shear Strength,” Soil and Foundations, 29(3), 1

28、68. Tang, W.H., and Gilbert, R.B. (1992) “A New Look at Fluctuating Geotechnical Data for Reliability Design (Discussion),” Soil and Foundation, 32(3), 181-182. Tang, W.H., Merri, G., and Halim, I.S. (1992) “Uncertainty of Mobilized Undrained Shear Strength,” Soils and Foundations, 32(4), 107-116. 4

29、. Random field models Tang, W.H., and Sidi, I. (1984) “Random Field Model of a Two-State Medium,” Proceedings, 4th ASCE Specialty Conference on Probabilistic Mechanics and Structural Reliability, Berkeley, California, 210-213. Tang, W.H., and Gilbert, R.B. (1989) “Statistics of Spatial Average in a

30、Random Two-State Medium,” Journal of Structural Safety, 6, 271-282. Tang, W.H., Sidi, I., and Gilbert, R.B. (1989) “Average Property in a Random Two-State Medium,” Journal of Engineering Mechanics, ASCE, 115(1), 131-144. 5. Site characterization and geotechnical anomaly Tang, W.H., and Saadeghvaziri

31、, A. (1983) “Updating Distribution of Anomaly Size and Fraction,” Recent Advances in Engineering Mechanics and Their Impact on Civil Engineering Practice, Vol. II, edited by W.F. Chan and A.D.M. Lewis, 895-898. Tang, W.H., and Quek, S.T. (1986) “Statistical Model of Boulder Size and Fraction,” Journ

32、al of Geotechnical Engineering, 112(1), 79-90. Tang, W.H. (1987) “Updating Anomaly Statistics - Single Anomaly Case,” Journal of Structural Safety, 4, 151-163. Tang, W.H., Halim, I., and Gilbert, R.B. (1988) “Reliability of Geotechnical Systems Considering Geologic Anomaly,” Proceedings, ASCE Confer

33、ence on Probabilistic Methods, VPI, 136-139. Tang, W.H., and Halim, I. (1988) “Updating Anomaly Statistics - Multiple Anomaly Pieces,” Journal of Engineering Mechanics, ASCE, 114(6), 1091-1096. Halim, I.S., and Tang, W.H. (1990) “Bayesian Method for Characterization of Geological Anomaly,” Proceedin

34、gs, ISUMA 1990, The First International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis. Maryland, USA, 585-594. Tang, W.H. (1990) “Reliability of Geotechnical Performances Considering Geologic Anomalies,” Contribution to Workshop on Dynamic Effects of Structures and Earthquake Engineering, edited by

35、 C.H. Loh and I.C. Tsai, Taiwan, 13-14. Halim, I.S., Tang, W.H., and Garrett, J.H. (1991) “Knowledge-Assisted Interactive Probabilistic Site Characterization,” Proceedings, Geotechnical Engineering Congress, ASCE, Vol. I, 264-275. Halim, I.S., and Tang, W.H. (1991) “Reliability of Undrained Clay Slo

36、pe Considering Geologic Anomaly,” Proceedings, ICASP, Mexico City, 776-783. Halim, I.S., and Tang, W.H. (1993) “Site Exploration Strategy for Geologies Anomaly Characterization,” Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, ASCE, 119(GT2), 195-213. Cheung, R.W.M., and Tang, W.H. (2000) “Bayesian Calibration

37、 of Slope Failure Probability,” Geotechnical Special Pulication, ASCE, GeoDenver Conference Slope Stability 2000, Denver, CO, USA, 5 - 8 August, 72-85. 6. Reliability and risk assessment of slopes Yucemen, M.S., Tang, W.H., and Ang, A.H-S. (1973) “A Probabilistic Study of Safety and Design of Earth

38、Slopes.” Civil Engineering Studies, Structural Research Series No. 402, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, Illinois, July. *HRWHFKQLFDO6DIHWDQG5HOLDELOLW*63L$6&(Tang, W.H. (1974) “Probability-Based Design of Earth Slopes,” Proceedings, ASCE-EMD Specialty Conference on Probabilistic

39、Methods in Engineering, Stanford University, June. Yucemen, M.S., and Tang, W.H. (1975) “Long-Term Stability of Soil Slopes-A Reliability Approach,” Proceedings, 2nd International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability to Soil and Structural Engineering, Aachen, 215-229. Tang, W.H.

40、, Yucemen, M.S., and Ang, A.H-S. (1976) “Probability-Based Short Term Design of Soil Slopes,” Canadian Geotechnical Journal, 13, 201-215. Tang, W.H. (1977) “Probability Methods in Stability Analysis,” Probability Theory and Reliability Analysis in Geotechnical Engineering, edited by D.A. Grivas, Ren

41、sselaer Polytechnic Institute, 122-130. Kuroda, K., and Tang, W.H. (1979) “Statistical Decision of Embankment Design,” The Practice of Geotechnical EngineeringDecision Making Under Uncertainty, ASCE. Tang, W.H., Chowdhury, R., and Sidi, I. (1985) “Progressive Failure Probability of Soil Slopes,” Pro

42、ceedings, International Conference on Structural Safety and Reliability, Vol. III, 363-372. Chowdhury, R., and Tang, W.H. (1987) “Comparison of Risk Models for Slopes,” Proceedings, ICASP5, Vancouver, 863-869. Chowdhury, R., Tang, W.H., and Sidi, I. (1987) “Reliability Model of Progressive Slope Fai

43、lure,” Geotechnique, 467-481. Gilbert, R.B., and Tang, W.H. (1989) “Progressive Failure Probability of Soil Slopes Containing Geological Anomalies,” Proceedings, ICOSSAR, 255-262. Hayashi, H., and Tang, W.H. (1994) “Probabilistic Evaluation on Progressive Failure in Cut Slope“ Journal of Structural

44、Safety, 14(1&2), 31-46. Wu, T.H, Tang, W.H., and Einstein, H.H. (1996) “Landslide Hazard and Risk Management,” in Landslides: Investigation and Mitigation, A.K. Turner, ed., Transportation Research Board, 106-118. Tang, W.H., and Li, V. (1997) “Dealing with Risk in Slope Design” HKIE Annual Seminar

45、on Slope Engineering in Hong Kong, May. Tang, W.H., Stark, T., and Angulo, M. (1997) “Reliability and Performance Based Design of Slopes,” in Landslide Risk Assessment, Proceedings of the International Workshop on Landslide Risk Assessment, Honolulu, Hawaii, USA, edited by D. Cruden and R. Fell, Bal

46、kema, 357-364. Kuang, J.S., and Tang, W.H. (1998) “Potential Seismic Hazard in Hong Kong,” Multi-lateral Workshop on Development of Earthquake and Tsunami Disaster Mitigation Technologies and their Integration for the Asia- Pacific region, RIKEN Earthquake Disaster Mitigation Research Center, 31-36.

47、 Tang, W.H. (1998) “Landslide Risk Management,” Proceedings of First China-USA-Japan Workshop on Civil Infrastructure Systems, Zhang, X et al, eds., 292-304. Liu, N., and Tang, W.H. (1999) “System Reliability Assessment for Soil Slope Stability,” Proceedings of the International Conference Applicati

48、ons of Statistics & Probability (ICASP8), The University of Newcastle, Sydney, Decmeber 1999, 453-460. Tang, W.H., Stark, T., and Angulo, M. (1999) “Reliability in Back Analysis of Slope Failures,” Soils and Foundation, 39(5), 73-80. Cheung, R.W.M., and Tang, W.H. (2001) “Use of Reliability Method i

49、n Slope Design Option Selection,” Geotechnical Engineering Meeting Societys Needs, Proceeding of SEAGC, K.K.S. Ho and K.S. Li, eds., 731-736. Wang, D., and Tang, W.H. (2001) “Fuzzy Fault and Event Tree Analysis of Landslide Risk,” Proceedings of the International Conference on Safety, Risk and Reliability - Trends in Engineeri