专业八级分类模拟194及答案解析.doc
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1、专业八级分类模拟 194 及答案解析(总分:100.10,做题时间:90 分钟)一、READING COMPREHENSIO(总题数:1,分数:100.00)Section A Multiple-Choice Questions In this section there are several passages by fourteen multiple choice questions. For each multiple choice qutestion, there are four suggested answers marked A. B, C and D. Choose the o
2、ne that you think is the best answer and mark your answers on ANSWER SHEET TWO. PASSAGE ONE Last week oil prices finally stopped rising. They now hover around $43 a barrel, a 20-year high. The average American family will spend about $2,700 on gasoline this year (driving 22,000 miles). That“s twice
3、as much as it spent on gas two years ago. These prices are having a predictable consequence. The consumer price index has risen by 4.9 percent to date, versus 1.9 percent last year. And last week President Bush“s economic adviser, Gregory Mankiw, acknowledged that a $10 rise in the price of oil prob
4、ably translates into a half-percentage-point drag on economic growth. For countries like Japan, China and India, the effect is even greater. How did this happen? And can Washingtonor anybodydo much about it? The answer that flashed on our television screens is instability in the Middle East. Pipelin
5、e explosions in Iraq, tensions with Iran and terror attacks in Saudi Arabia all contribute to what analysts call the “security premium“ on the price of oil. But that premium might be exaggerated. Oil prices are rising for broader, structural reasons. The world may have to get used to expensive oil.
6、The largest ingredient in current oil prices has been a massive increase in demand. This year“s growth is double what it has been for the past six years (on average). That“s because the United States is in recovery, Japan“s economy is finally back and Asiaparticularly China and Indiais growing fast.
7、 In fact, this year is likely to have the strongest global growth on record in three decadesunless oil prices choke it off. While demand is up, supply can“t rise much. For a variety of reasons, almost no oil-producing country has “surplus capacity“the ability to put substantially more oil into tile
8、market. Oil companies have been slow to increase investments in production, and these expenditures take a few years to bear fruit. “Right now oil markets are tighter than they were on the eve of the 1973 oil shocks. And they will stay tight for the next two years. That makes the geopolitics of oil c
9、rucial,“ says Daniel Yergin, the chairman of Cambridge Energy Research Associates. If there is trouble anywhere, it will probably cause an oil shock. And think of the possibilitiesinstability in Venezuela, Nigeria, Indonesia, Libya, Saudi Arabia or, of course, Iraq. Last year the markets could absor
10、b the loss of Iraqi oil (during the war). This year they can“t. Iraq has to stay online. And all these other countries have to stay stable. There is only one country with significant surplus capacitySaudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia has increased its production repeatedly over the past two years, or else p
11、rices would be higher still than they are. And the Saudis are making investments that will increase their surplus capacity by the end of the year. In a tight oil market, Saudi Arabia is the pivotal player. Consider the irony. One of the Bush administrations (privately stated) reasons for going to wa
12、r in Iraq was to reduce our dependence on Saudi Arabia“s oil power. It was a reasonable idea. But having botched the occupation, with Iraqi oil more insecure now than before the war, America is today more dependent on Saudi Arabia than ever before. Fortunately the Saudi regime has proved a responsib
13、le and reliable player, in this realm. “The Saudis are the central bankers of the world of oil. And they take that role seriously,“ says Yergin. What to do about this new reality? George Bush proposes to increase U. S. production in Alaska. John Kerry calls for increased conservation. Bush is correc
14、t to argue that some increase in American production is important. In 1973, the United States imported one third of its oil from abroad. Today it imports two thirds. And exploration does not have to be ecologically devastating. Even if the major oilfields that are assumed to exist there were discove
15、red in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, only a few thousand acres of the 19 million-acre refuge would be affected. But the more lasting solution to America“s oil problem has to come from energy efficiency. American demand is the gorilla fueling high oil pricesmore than instability or the rise of
16、 China or anything else. Between 1990 and 2000, the global trade in oil increased by 9.5 billion barrels. Half of that was accounted for the rise in U. S. imports. America is consuming more because it is growing morebut also because over the past two decades, it has become much less efficient in its
17、 use of gasoline, the only major industrial country to slide backward. The reason is simple: three lettersSUV. In 1990 sport utility vehicles made up 5 percent of America“s cars. Today they make up 55 percent. They violate all energy-efficiency standards because of an absurd loophole in the law that
18、 allows them to be classified as trucks. Bashing the Saudis is easy these days. Controlling our own wastefulness is more difficult. But making no mistake as to which one will make a difference. PASSAGE TWO The most important thing now is for Democrats not to panic. Despite what your gut is telling y
19、ou, this is not the end of the world. The republic survived one run of the George lefties will say he was too inside-the-Beltway to energize the angry, disillusioned masses; and the increasingly unbalanced Ralph Nader will declare him another loathsome Republicrat slave to corporate America. This so
20、rt of infighting may feel cathartic, but it is dangerously counterproductive, serving largely to confirm Republicans“ claims that Democrats lack the core values necessary to run the country. Besides, Kerry“s problem wasn“t his policies; it was his personality. The guy was simply too cerebral, too eq
21、uivocating and too out of touch with Middle America to wrest enough purple-state voters from even a seriously tarnished Bush. Sure, his Vietnam medals were pretty, but no Democrat who attended Swiss boarding school, hails from Massachusetts and raves about his love of French skiers had a snowball“s
22、chance of unseating good ole W. So we ran an unlikable candidate, and we lost. There“s no reason to go nuts and launch a civil war over whether to embrace A1 Sharpton or Zell (Mad Dog) Miller as our ideological guru for 2008. However we opt to handle our grief, Kerry supporters need to“ pull themsel
23、ves together on Inauguration Daybecause if you thought the past four years have been scary, just imagine the policy atrocities to be attempted by a Bush White House freed from the concerns of re-election. With George the numerous ambulance transfers, MRI brain scans, X-rays and assorted tests associ
24、ated with any serious injury or illness were all-inclusive. In fact, the only supplement was (分数:100.10)(1).The following are the reasons why Saudi Arabia plays an important role in the oil market except -|_|-.(PASSAGE ONE)(分数:4.55)A.It has significant surplus capacity.B.It will increase its investm
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