大学六级-430及答案解析.doc
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1、大学六级-430 及答案解析(总分:703.00,做题时间:90 分钟)一、BPart Writing(总题数:1,分数:106.00)1. 1简要分析图表 2分析观众喜欢看体育节目的原因 BWhy Do the Viewers Like Watching Sport Programs?/B (分数:106.00)_二、BPart Reading (总题数:1,分数:70.00)BEarth: Melting in the Heat?/BGlaciers are melting; the ice caps are disappearing into the oceans; sea levels
2、 may rise by many meters as a consequence. Indigenous (本土的) Arctic peoples will find their food stocks gone, while fresh water supplies in Asia and south America will disappear as the glaciers which provide them melt away; penguins, polar bears and seals will find their habitats gone, their traditio
3、nal lives unlivable.But how realistic is this picture? Is the worlds ice really disappearing, or is it unscientific hot air?A European satellite named Cryosat was designed to provide definitive answers to some of these questions. A launcher fault destroyed the mission in October 2005, but the Europe
4、an Space Agency has approved a replacement. In the meantime, here is our global snapshot.BThe Antarctic/BHuge, pristine (质朴的), dramatic, unforgiving-the Antarctic is where the biggest of all global changes could begin.There is so much ice here that if it all melted, sea levels globally would rise hu
5、gelyperhaps as much as 80m. Say goodbye to London, New York, Sydney, Bangkok in fact, the majority of the worlds major cities.But will it happen? Scientists divide the Antarctic into three zones: the east and west Antarctic ice sheets; and the Peninsula, the tongue of land which points up towards th
6、e southern tip of South America.“Everybody thinks that the Antarctic is shrinking due to climate change, but the reality is much more complex,“ says David Vaughan, a principal investigator at the British Antarctic Survey in Cambridge, U.K. “Parts of it appear to be thickening as a result of snowfall
7、 increases, but the Peninsula is thinning at an alarming rate due to warming. The West Antarctic sheet is also thinning, and were not sure of the mason why.“BOn the Up/BTemperatures in the Peninsula appear to be increasing at around twice the global averageabout 2 over the last 50 years. Those figur
8、es are based on measurements made by instruments at scientific stations.Earlier this year, David Vaughans group published research showing that the vast majority of glaciers along the Peninsula87% of the 244 studiedare in retreat. The ice dumped into the ocean as the glaciers retreat should not make
9、 much difference to global sea levelsperhaps a few centimeters.More worrying, potentially, are the vast ice sheets covering the rest of Antarctica. Making temperature measurements for the continent as a whole is difficult; it is a vast place-more than 2,000 km across-them are few research stations,
10、and temperatures vary naturally by 23 from year to year. But measurements indicate that in the west, reciting is underway.“About one-third of the West Antarctic ice sheet is thinning,“ says Dr. Vaughan, “on average by about 10cm per year, but in the worst places by 34m per year.“The rock on which th
11、e West Antarctic ice rests is below sea level, and British Antarctic Survey researchers believe the thinning could be due to the ice sheet melting on its underside.“It may be that the ocean is warming and thats causing the ice to melt, but there may be other reasons as well; for example, theres lots
12、 of volcanism in that area and so that could change how much heat is delivered to the underside of the ice sheet.“Cryosat should help to pin down what is happening at the West Antarctic fringe. The radar altimeters on board its predecessors ERSI and ERS2 have been unable to map the steep slopes at t
13、he coast, whereas Cryosats instrument should be able to cope.If the entire West Antarctic ice sheet did melt, sea levels globally would rise, by around 5m. But at the moment, there is no sign of that happening.One recent scientific paper attempted to calculate probabilities for how much West Antarct
14、ic melting would contribute to global sea-level rises during this century. The conclusions: a 30% probability of a 20 cm rise, and a 5% chance of a 1m rise.Eastern MassAnd what of the big monster, the much larger East Antarctic sheet? A recent study using altimeter data suggested it is getting thick
15、er, by about 1.8 cm/yr; another, using the gravity satellite mission Grace indicates its mass remains stable. But could rising temperatures in time drain the ice away?“It is net going to happen on any realistic human timescale,“ says David Vaughan. “Its so cold that you could raise temperatures by 5
16、10 without having much of an impact; its on rock above sea level, so warming in the ocean cant affect it.“Largely insulated from global trends and so big as to generate its own climatic systems, most of Antarctica appears to be immune to the big melt for now, though answers to what is happening in t
17、he west are eagerly awaited.BThe Arctic/BAt the top of the world, the Arctic is a region built on water. Around the Noah Pole is ocean, with ice floes crowding in each winter and thinning again in the summers.In September, we learned from scientists at the U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center that
18、 the extent of ocean covered by ice is getting smaller each year, the current rate of shrinkage they calculate at around 8% per decade. Their projection is that within about 60 years, there will be no summer ice at all on the Arctic Ocean.“Overall, the extent has been declining, with some oscillatio
19、ns (摆动), since the 1970s when satellites were able to map it,“ comments Peter Wadhams, Professor of Ocean Physics at Cambridge University, U.K., and currently at the Laboratoire Oce anographique in Villefranche-sur-mer, France. “Theres been a slow decline, but now the thinning appears to be more rap
20、id. In the last two decades, not only has the area shrunk but the ice has got thinner by about 40%; the prediction is that it will vanish altogether during summers in the second half of this century.“BMilitary Records/BMeasurements of thickness come mainly from military submarines, which spent long
21、periods under the Arctic ice during the Cold War.Peter Wadhams was one of the scientists who afterwards persuaded the authorities in Britain and the United States to declassify their data.But as a method of measurement, it is far from perfect; and satellites have given only limited help. The existin
22、g satellite fleet gives good measurements of ice extent, but is not so good at detecting thickness, partly because the orbits of satellites with radar altimeters do not cover every portion of the ocean.This data deficit has led to a rival theorythat the ice is not melting at ail; it is simply piling
23、 up in another part of the ocean, perhaps along the north Canadian coast.Peter Wadhams believes he has now disproved this idea. “We did an experiment where we installed a set of buoys (浮标) in that region which measure the thickness of the ice and transmit it back via satellite,“ he says. “The buoy s
24、its on the ice, and as waves pass under it they make it rise and fall, just by a millimeter or two; measuring this allows you to calculate the thickness of the ice.“The preliminary results, announced at a scientific meeting in April 2005, show that the extra ice is not there; it really has melted aw
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