ASCE GSP 283-2017 Reliability-Based Design and Code Developments.pdf

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1、Edited by Jinsong Huang, Ph.D. Gordon A. Fenton, Ph.D., P .Eng. Limin Zhang, Ph.D. D. V. Griffiths, Ph.D., P .E., D.GE Geo-Risk 2017 Reliability-Based Design and Code Developments Selected Papers from the Proceedings of Geo-Risk 2017 GSP 283GEOTECHNICAL SPECIAL PUBLICATION NO. 283 GEO-RISK 2017 RELI

2、ABILITY-BASED DESIGN AND CODE DEVELOPMENTS SELECTED PAPERS FROM SESSIONS OF GEO-RISK 2017 June 47, 2017 Denver, Colorado SPONSORED BY Geo-Institute of the American Society of Civil Engineers EDITED BY Jinsong Huang, Ph.D. Gordon A. Fenton, Ph.D., P.Eng. Limin Zhang, Ph.D. D. V. Griffiths, Ph.D., P.E

3、., D.GE Published by the American Society of Civil Engineers Published by American Society of Civil Engineers 1801 Alexander Bell Drive Reston, Virginia, 20191-4382 www.asce.org/publications | ascelibrary.org Any statements expressed in these materials are those of the individual authors and do not

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7、eneral or specific application. Anyone utilizing such information assumes all liability arising from such use, including but not limited to infringement of any patent or patents. ASCE and American Society of Civil EngineersRegistered in U.S. Patent and Trademark Office. Photocopies and permissions.

8、Permission to photocopy or reproduce material from ASCE publications can be requested by sending an e-mail to permissionsasce.org or by locating a title in ASCEs Civil Engineering Database (http:/cedb.asce.org) or ASCE Library (http:/ascelibrary.org) and using the “Permissions” link. Errata: Errata,

9、 if any, can be found at https:/doi.org/10.1061/9780784480700 Copyright 2017 by the American Society of Civil Engineers. All Rights Reserved. ISBN 978-0-7844-8070-0 (PDF) Manufactured in the United States of America. Preface Interest and use of probabilistic methods and risk assessment tools in geot

10、echnical engineering has grown rapidly in recent years. The natural variability of soil and rock properties, combined with a frequent lack of high quality site data, makes a probabilistic approach to geotechnical design a logical and scientific way of managing both technical and economic risk. The b

11、urgeoning field of geotechnical risk assessment is evidenced by numerous publications, textbooks, dedicated journals and sessions at general geotechnical conferences. Risk assessments are increasingly becoming a requirement in many large engineering construction projects. Probabilistic methods are a

12、lso recognized in design codes as a way of delivering reasonable load and resistance factors (LRFD) to target allowable risk levels in geotechnical design. This Geotechnical Special Publication (GSP), coming out of the Geo-Risk 2017 specialty conference held in Denver, Colorado from June 4-7, 2017,

13、presents contributions in sessions: 1) Reliability- and Risk- Based Code Developments, 2) Probabilistic Methods and Reliability Analysis, 3) Performance-Based Liquefaction Assessment and Mitigation, 4) Probabilistic Performance and Resilience Assessment, and 5) Load and Resistance Factor Design (LRF

14、D) Developments and Applications. These contributions to the use of reliability based design methodologies and to reliability based code developments in geotechnical practice are very timely, and will provide a valuable and lasting reference for practitioners and academics alike. The editors would l

15、ike to thank all of the members of ASCE Geo Institutes Technical Committee on Risk Assessment and Management and the Engineering Practice of Risk Assessment and Management Committee (TC304) of the International Society of Soil Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering (ISSMGE) for their ongoing support

16、. All the papers in this GSP went through a rigorous review process. The contributions of the reviewers are much appreciated. The Editors Jinsong Huang, Ph.D., M.ASCE, University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia Gordon A. Fenton, Ph.D., P.Eng., FEIC, FCAE, M.ASCE, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Canada L

17、imin Zhang, Ph.D., F.ASCE, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, PR China D.V. Griffiths, Ph.D., P.E., D.GE, F.ASCE, Colorado School of Mines, Golden, CO, USA Geo-Risk 2017 GSP 283 iii ASCE Acknowledgments The following individuals deserve special acknowledgment and recognition for their e

18、fforts in making this conference a success Conference Chair: D.V. Griffiths, Colorado School of Mines, Golden, Colorado, USA Conference Co-Chair: Gordon A. Fenton, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Canada Technical Program Chair: Jinsong Huang, University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia Short-Courses: Lim

19、in Zhang, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology Student Program co-Chairs: Zhe Luo, University of Akron; Jack Montgomery, Auburn University Sponsorships and Exhibits Chair: Armin Stuedlein, Oregon State University The Editors greatly appreciate the work of Ms. Helen Cook, Ms. Leanne Shroede

20、r, Ms. Brandi Steeves, and Mr. Drew Caracciolo of the ASCE Geo-Institute for their administration of many important conference organizational issues, including management of the on-line paper submissions, the conference web site and sponsorship. Geo-Risk 2017 GSP 283 iv ASCEContents Advances in Geot

21、echnical Reliability-Based Design Calculation of Equivalent Number of Uniform Cycles as Basis for Magnitude Scaling Effects in Liquefaction Risk Models 1 Anthony Dombrowski, Lisa Star, and Luis G. Arboleda-Monsalve Effects of Small Variability of Soil Density on the Consequences of Liquefaction . 11

22、 Mohamed A. ElGhoraiby, Majid T. Manzari, and Samer Hamdar Numerical Evaluation of Fragility Curves for Earthquake-Liquefaction-Induced Settlements of an Embankment . 21 C. Khalil, I. Rapti, and F. Lopez-Caballero Performance Comparison of Probabilistic and Deterministic Liquefaction Triggering Mode

23、ls for Damage Assessment in 23 Global Earthquakes 31 Brett W. Maurer, Russell A. Green, Sjoerd van Ballegooy, Brendon A. Bradley, and Sneha Upadhyaya Regional Liquefaction Mapping Accounting for Multiscale Spatial Variability of Soil Parameters with Geological Constraints . 43 Chaofeng Wang, Qiushi

24、Chen, and C. Hsein Juang Response of Fena Dam to the 1993 Guam Earthquake . 54 Lelio H. Mejia Riverine Levee Upgrades against Liquefaction and Seismic Impact with Double Sheet Pile Walls and Deep Soil Cement Mix Columns 67 Takefumi Takuma Site Response in Liquefiable Layered Deposits Considering Spa

25、tial Variability in Hydraulic Conductivity 76 Raniero Beber and Shideh Dashti A Practical HLRF Algorithm for Slope Reliability Analysis 86 Jian Ji and Jayantha Kodikara Application of Metamodelling Techniques in the Context of Geotechnical Reliability-Based Analysis 99 Snia H. Marques Geo-Risk 2017

26、GSP 283 v ASCEApplication of Quasi-Newton Approximation-Based SORM for System Reliability Analysis of a Layered Soil Slope . 111 Peng Zeng, Rafael Jimenez, Tianbin Li, Yu Chen, and Xianda Feng Auxiliary Random Finite Element Method for Risk Assessment of 3-D Slope . 120 Te Xiao, Dian-Qing Li, Zi-Jun

27、 Cao, Siu-Kui Au, and Xiao-Song Tang Investigating the Influence of Conditional Simulation on Small-Probability Failure Events Using Subset Simulation . 130 Bram van den Eijnden, Michael A. Hicks, and Philip J. Vardon Methods for Probabilistic Seismic Levee System Reliability Analysis 140 Dong Youp

28、Kwak, Ruben Jongejan, Paolo Zimmaro, Scott J. Brandenberg, and Jonathan P. Stewart Model Uncertainties for the Static Design of Square Foundations on Sand under Axial Compression . 151 Chong Tang, Kok-Kwang Phoon, and Sami O. Akbas Serviceability Limit State Reliability Analysis of Perni Railway Emb

29、ankment . 161 Monica S. Lfman and Leena K. Korkiala-Tanttu Assessing the Performance of Shield Tunnels Due to Corrosion Using Bayesian MCMC . 172 Zhongkai Huang, Dongmei Zhang, and Hongwei Huang Case Study: Excavation Adjacent to High Pressure Natural Gas Transmission PipelinesA Risk Management Appr

30、oach 184 Maria J. Lobo, Scott Newhouse, and Wayne R. Bergstrom Closed Cavity Thin-Wall Components Design for Prefabricated Underground Subway Structures . 194 Xiuren Yang and Yuzhen Han Geotechnical Engineering Challenges in the Path to Resilient Infrastructure 206 Sissy Nikolaou, Nonika Antonaki, R

31、allis Kourkoulis, Fani Gelagoti, Irene Georgiou, and George Gazetas Interaction of Performance and Construction Risk While Testing Runway Subgrade Using Non-Destructive Methods 216 Kevin Foye and Alvaro Ulloa Geo-Risk 2017 GSP 283 vi ASCEParametric Study on Slope Stability Using Recycled Plastic Pin

32、 . 226 Mohammad Sadik Khan, Sahadat Hossain, Asif Ahmed, Kelli Greenwood, and Aya Shishani Probabilistic Assessment and Prediction of Shield Tunnel Performance . 237 Y. J. Zhang, D. M. Zhang, and H. W. Huang Resilience Analysis of Metro Networks: A Case Study of Shanghai Metro Network . 247 Fei Du,

33、Hongwei Huang, Dongming Zhang, and Fan Zhang Selecting Minimum Factors of Safety for 3D Slope Stability Analyses . 259 T. D. Stark and D. G. Ruffing Load and Resistance Factor Design (LRFD) Developments and Applications Design of Laterally Loaded PilesLimits of Limit State Design? . 267 Kerstin Lesn

34、y Development of Reliability Based Design and Acceptance Protocol for Pile Foundations in Arkansas 277 Joseph Jabo Evaluation of CALTRANS Design Methods for Steel Pipe Piles . 287 Yujie Hu, Xinbao Yu, and Murad Abu-Farsakh From ASD to Reliability Based LRFD of Geotechnical Structures: Learning from

35、Pioneers and Experts through Videos and Webinars . 296 Jiliang Li and Masoud Mojtahed Recent Development of Load and Resistance Factor Design (LRFD) for Driven Piles on Soft Rock . 307 Kam W. Ng and Todd Sullivan Selecting the Right Foundation for Energy Delivery Structures: What Are the Challenges

36、and How Can They Be Overcome? 317 Haijian Shi and Richard Steeg Site-Specific Geotechnical Resistance Factors for a Large Industrial Project in Canada . 329 Peter Thomson, Dennis Becker, Gennaro Esposito, and Jim J. Wright Use of Monte Carlo Analysis to Optimize the Calculated Resistance of Driven M

37、icropiles . 341 Roberto Valentino and Davide Stevanoni Geo-Risk 2017 GSP 283 vii ASCEReliability- and Risk-Based Code Developments A Simple Reliability-Based Procedure for Seismic Geotechnical Design 352 Vincenzo Pane, Alessia Vecchietti, and Manuela Cecconi An Analytical Approach of Geotechnical Re

38、liability-Based Design and Its Application . 364 Wenjun Dong Calibration of Safety Factors for Piping Failure Mechanism in Levees . 374 Ana Teixeira, Karolina Wojciechowska, Wouter L. A. ter Horst, and Marcel Bottema Challenges in Applying Fixed Partial Factors to Rock Engineering Design . 384 Willi

39、am Bjureland, Johan Spross, Fredrik Johansson, Anders Prstings, and Stefan Larsson Cost-Effective Design of Long Spatially Variable Soil Slopes Using Conditional Simulation 394 Yajun Li, Michael A. Hicks, and Philip J. Vardon Design Optimization of Piled-Raft Foundation for Tall Wind Turbine on Clay

40、ey Soil . 403 Shweta Shrestha, Nadarajah Ravichandran, and Parishad Rahbari Discussion on Imprecise Probabilistic Approaches Applied to the Eurocode 7 Partial Factor Design . 413 Snia H. Marques Discussion on Robustness in the Context of Eurocode 7 Partial Factor Design . 425 Snia H. Marques Evaluat

41、ion of the Uncertainties Related to the Geotechnical Design Method and Its Consideration in Reliability Based Design 435 Kerstin Lesny, Sami Akbas, Witold Bogusz, Sbastien Burlon, Giovanna Vessia, and Limin Zhang Impact of Resistance Distribution Selection on Foundation Reliability in Consideration

42、of Lower-Bound Limits . 445 Seth C. Reddy and Armin W. Stuedlein Insights from Reliability-Based Design in Geotechnical Engineering . 459 B. K. Low and K. K. Phoon Probabilistic Design of Slopes in Normally Consolidated Clays 471 Desheng Zhu, D. V. Griffiths, Jinsong Huang, and Gordon A. Fenton Geo-

43、Risk 2017 GSP 283 viii ASCEReliability Analysis of Foundation Settlement in Nigeria Based on Standard Penetration Test Results 480 Salahudeen A. Bunyamin, Ijimdiya S. Thomas, Eberemu O. Adrian, and Osinubi J. Kolawole Reliability Updating with Survival Information for Dike Slope Stability Using Frag

44、ility Curves . 494 Timo Schweckendiek, Mark G. van der Krogt, Ana Teixeira, Wim Kanning, Rob Brinkman, and Katerina Rippi Reliability-Based Performance Assessment of Bioreactor Landfills Using Coupled Hydro-Bio-Mechanical Framework 504 Girish Kumar and Krishna R. Reddy Revision of “The Technical Sta

45、ndard for Port and Harbor Structures” Based on LRFD . 514 Masahiro Takenobu, Masafumi Miyata, Yusuke Honjo, Yu Otake, Takehiko Sato, and Satoshi Nishioka Risk-Based Approach in Geotechnical Design . 524 Ramanujachari Kannan Search for the Worst-Case Correlation Length in the Bearing Capacity Probabi

46、lity of Failure Analyses . 534 W. Pua, J. M. Pieczyska-Koz owska, and M. Chwa a Seismic Earth Pressure Reliability Analysis 545 Robb Eric S. Moss Stochastic Analysis of Levee Stability Subject to Variable Seepage Conditions 554 Robert Lanzafame, Henry Teng, and Nicholas Sitar Geo-Risk 2017 GSP 283 i

47、x ASCE Calculation of Equivalent Number of Uniform Cycles as Basis for Magnitude Scaling Effects in Liquefaction Risk Models Anthony Dombrowski, S.M.ASCE 1 ; Lisa Star, Ph.D., M.ASCE 2 ; and Luis G. Arboleda- Monsalve, Ph.D., M.ASCE 31 Graduate Research Assistant, Dept. of Civil Engineering and Cons

48、truction Engineering Management, California State Univ., Long Beach, CA 90840. E-mail: Anthony.Dombrowskistudent.csulb.edu 2 Assistant Professor, Dept. of Civil Engineering and Construction Engineering Management, California State Univ., Long Beach, CA 90840. E-mail: Lisa.Starcsulb.edu 3 Assistant P

49、rofessor, Dept. of Civil Engineering and Construction Engineering Management, California State Univ., Long Beach, CA 90840. E-mail: Luis.Arboledacsulb.edu Abstract The seismic demand imposed by a ground motion is related to its amplitude and duration, where greater demand placed on the soil increases the probability that liquefaction is triggered and that its effects will be damaging. Historically, the seismic demand imposed by an arbitrary ground motion was quantified by describing a uniform series of shear stress cycles that caused an equiv