欢迎来到麦多课文档分享! | 帮助中心 海量文档,免费浏览,给你所需,享你所想!
麦多课文档分享
全部分类
  • 标准规范>
  • 教学课件>
  • 考试资料>
  • 办公文档>
  • 学术论文>
  • 行业资料>
  • 易语言源码>
  • ImageVerifierCode 换一换
    首页 麦多课文档分享 > 资源分类 > PPT文档下载
    分享到微信 分享到微博 分享到QQ空间

    The Doha Development Agenda.ppt

    • 资源ID:373248       资源大小:683.50KB        全文页数:28页
    • 资源格式: PPT        下载积分:2000积分
    快捷下载 游客一键下载
    账号登录下载
    微信登录下载
    二维码
    微信扫一扫登录
    下载资源需要2000积分(如需开发票,请勿充值!)
    邮箱/手机:
    温馨提示:
    如需开发票,请勿充值!快捷下载时,用户名和密码都是您填写的邮箱或者手机号,方便查询和重复下载(系统自动生成)。
    如需开发票,请勿充值!如填写123,账号就是123,密码也是123。
    支付方式: 支付宝扫码支付    微信扫码支付   
    验证码:   换一换

    加入VIP,交流精品资源
     
    账号:
    密码:
    验证码:   换一换
      忘记密码?
        
    友情提示
    2、PDF文件下载后,可能会被浏览器默认打开,此种情况可以点击浏览器菜单,保存网页到桌面,就可以正常下载了。
    3、本站不支持迅雷下载,请使用电脑自带的IE浏览器,或者360浏览器、谷歌浏览器下载即可。
    4、本站资源下载后的文档和图纸-无水印,预览文档经过压缩,下载后原文更清晰。
    5、试题试卷类文档,如果标题没有明确说明有答案则都视为没有答案,请知晓。

    The Doha Development Agenda.ppt

    1、The Doha Development Agenda,Yvan Decreux1, Lionel Fontagn2 WTO, November 2, 20101: CEPII, ITC 2: CEPII, University Paris 1,July 2008 package,Based on two different studies Decreux, Y. & Fontagn, L. (2009). Economic Impact of potential outcome of the DDA, CEPII Research Report 2009-01 More comprehens

    2、ive: includes trade facilitationDecreux, Y. (2009). Effets dun accord commercial multilatral sur la base des propositions de dcembre 2008, Report for the French Government More recent: Includes precisions added in the December 08 package (anti-concentration clause and other elements related to sensi

    3、tive products) Some technical improvements More sector details in agriculture,Downloadable,Both studies downloadable here: https:/ covered,Agriculture NAMA Services Trade facilitation,Agriculture,Domestic support: mostly the US and EFTA Export subsidies US, EU Agreement found long ago Tariffs: EU, E

    4、FTA, Japan,NAMA,Tariffs only Most efforts to be made by developing countries (despite special and differential treatment) But many are exempt of actual tariff reductions: Small and Vulnerable Economies, LDCs,Export subsidies,Not really damaging in a deterministic world (stable prices and production)

    5、, except for countries strongly specialised in agriculture The world is not deterministic, especially in agriculture Export subsidies (and tariffs) used to moderate internal instability, to the expense of other countries Early agreement to phase out all export subsidies by 2013,Modelling,Based on th

    6、e Mirage model (CEPII) + MAcMap data (ITC, CEPII) Some data missing (historical AMS for instance) relied on INRA work (J-C Bureau, J-P Butault) for static impact Inflation and growth: all commitments (except de minimis) expressed in LCU,Inflation issue (illustrated),Inflation issue (continued),Not t

    7、aking it into account leads to Overestimate the effect of export subsidy suppression Underestimate the effect of domestic support reduction Overall, broadly neutral on agricultural production as a whole for the EU, but significant differences at the product level (milk, sugar),Tariff reductions,Agri

    8、culture: tiered formulas Sensitive products (tariff-rate quotas) Special products Tariff escalation issue Tropical products NAMA: Swiss formulas Sensitive products for developing countries Anti-concentration clause,Implementation,Formulas applied to bound tariffs, at the HS6 level (MAcMap-HS6 2004)

    9、Impact on applied tariffs Aggregated at the sector and region level,Other subjects,Services Developed and emerging countries, on a free basis Much less quantified at this stage Trade facilitation Potential source of significant gains Not really a negotiation issue,Mirage,Computable General Equilibri

    10、um Model of the World economy Sequential dynamics setting Capital accumulation Exogenous labour, population and TFP growth Exogenous labour supply & unemployment Based on GTAP, MAcMap and other data sources (ILO, IMF, .),Scenarios,Goods: December 08 proposals Services: Study 1: 3% cut for country pa

    11、rticipating in the specific negotiations on services Study 2: 10% cut of the estimated ad-valorem equivalent of barriers to services trade, all countries except Sub-Saharan Africa and Rest of the World (mostly non-WTO members) really optimistic,World welfare,Welfare: industrialized regions,Welfare:

    12、Asia,Welfare: Latin America,Welfare losses,Sources of gains / losses,Allocation efficiency: gains especially generated on high tariffs Terms of trade: balance of concessions & preference erosion Capital accumulation,Employment in agricultural sectors,NAMA exports (selected, bn USD),NAMA production (

    13、selected, bn USD),Trade facilitation,Based on estimates of time spent to export and import, by Minor and Tsigas Time spent at the port supposed to partially converge to the median performance, for all countries over that median No reduction of transport cost assumed Expressed as an iceberg costMinor

    14、 P. & Tsigas M. 2008. “Impacts of Better Trade Facilitation in Developing Countries, Analysis with a New GTAP Database for the Value of Time in Trade”, GTAP 11th Conference, Helsinki. USAID 2007. “Calculating Tariff Equivalents for Time in Trade”, March,Trade facilitation impact,Adds almost 100 bn U

    15、SD gain per year (from 68 bn to 167 bn) Especially favorable to developing countries, in particular Sub-Saharan Africa Lack of a clear commitment by all partners to let trade facilitation benefits be an outcome of Doha negotiations,Limitations of the methodology,Actual impacts of export subsidies no

    16、t properly measured in a deterministic framework Preference erosion may be overestimated: rules of origin actually reduce current preference benefits + importance of the EU in Sub-Saharan Africa tend to decrease more quickly than projected Impact on poverty and inequality not assessed Possible impac

    17、t of trade competition on productivity not accounted for,Conclusion,Balanced proposal, employment in agriculture rises in developing countries Concern on preference erosion Conservative estimates: benefits expected to be at least as large as the ones mentioned Current situation corresponds to a non-cooperative equilibrium,


    注意事项

    本文(The Doha Development Agenda.ppt)为本站会员(postpastor181)主动上传,麦多课文档分享仅提供信息存储空间,仅对用户上传内容的表现方式做保护处理,对上载内容本身不做任何修改或编辑。 若此文所含内容侵犯了您的版权或隐私,请立即通知麦多课文档分享(点击联系客服),我们立即给予删除!




    关于我们 - 网站声明 - 网站地图 - 资源地图 - 友情链接 - 网站客服 - 联系我们

    copyright@ 2008-2019 麦多课文库(www.mydoc123.com)网站版权所有
    备案/许可证编号:苏ICP备17064731号-1 

    收起
    展开